Diamondbacks vs Pirates Prediction 07/27/2025 Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Diamondbacks vs Pirates prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, July 27th at PNC Park in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Preview

The Arizona Diamondbacks are 51-54 this season after they split the first two games in this series by scores of 1-0 and 0-2. In their game two loss, Arizona couldn’t manufacture any runs, which was the second straight game they failed to score in the first nine innings. The Diamondbacks recorded four hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by McCann, who went 1-2 in the loss. Arizona started Kelly, who allowed six hits and one earned run over 6.2 innings for the loss, while Graveman pitched a scoreless eighth inning. 

Prior to this series, the Diamondbacks lost all three against the Astros, but did sweep the Cardinals in three games before that. Arizona has lost four of its last five games, and they are currently fourth in the NL West standings. The Arizona pitching staff has a 4.49 ERA with a 1.32 WHIP and a .250 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 523 runs with a .251 batting average and a .326 on-base percentage this year. Eugenio Suarez has led Arizona with 36 home runs and 87 RBIs, while Corbin Carroll has added 21 home runs and 50 RBIs this season. The projected starting pitcher for Arizona is Zac Gallen, who is 7-11 with a 5.58 ERA and a 1.37 WHIP over 121.0 innings pitched this season. 

Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Preview

The Pittsburgh Pirates are 43-62 this year after they won game two by a score of 2-0 on Saturday night. Pittsburgh scored both of its runs in the second, and they were able to get the win, but failed to score in the final six innings. The Pirates recorded six hits in the game, and they were led by Cruz, who went 1-4 with one home run and two RBIs in the win. Pittsburgh started Heaney, who allowed two hits and zero earned runs over 5.0 innings for the win, while Bednar picked up the save. 

Prior to this series, the Pirates won all three against the Tigers, but lost all three against the White Sox before that. Pittsburgh has won four of its last five games, and they are currently last in the NL Central standings. The Pittsburgh pitching staff has a 3.75 ERA with a 1.20 WHIP and a .234 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 352 runs with a .229 batting average and a .299 on-base percentage this season. Oneil Cruz has led Pittsburgh with 17 home runs and 42 RBIs, while Bryan Reynolds has added 10 home runs and 50 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Pittsburgh is Paul Skenes, who is 5-8 with a 1.91 ERA and a 0.91 WHIP over 127.0 innings pitched this year. 

Why the Pirates will beat the Diamondbacks

• The Pirates have won seven of their last eight games against National League opponents.
• The Diamondbacks have lost each of their last six day games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
• The Diamondbacks have failed to cover the run line each of their last six games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
• The Pirates have covered the run line in eight of their last nine home games against National League opponents.
• The Diamondbacks have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four games as road underdogs against NL Central opponents.
• The Diamondbacks have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four day games at PNC Park against NL Central opponents.

Why the Diamondbacks will beat the Pirates

• The Diamondbacks have won each of their last five games as road underdogs against the Pirates following a road loss.
• The Pirates have lost each of their last three games as home favorites against the Diamondbacks following a home win.
• The Diamondbacks have covered the run line in each of their last 10 Sunday games as road underdogs.
• The Pirates have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six day games against NL West opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Pirates’ last five games as favorites against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Five of the Diamondbacks’ last six day games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Pirates’ last eight games as home favorites against National League opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Diamondbacks’ last five road games against National League opponents.

Pittsburgh Pirates Player Prop Facts

• Oneil Cruz has hit a home run in two of the Pirates’ last three games against NL West opponents that held a losing record.
• Andrew McCutchen has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances with the Pirates as favorites against NL opponents.
• Jack Suwinski has recorded at least one Double in three of his last four appearances against the Diamondbacks at PNC Park.

Arizona Diamondbacks Player Prop Facts

• Eugenio Suarez has hit at least one home run in four of the Diamondbacks’ last seven games against NL Central opponents.
• Zac Gallen has recorded six or more strikeouts in three of his last four appearances.
• Zac Gallen has recorded a win in each of his last three appearances against NL opponents.
• James McCann has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
• James McCann has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances in day games against teams that held a losing record.

Diamondbacks vs Pirates Prediction 

Pittsburgh comes into this matchup with some momentum, as they have won four of their last five games, and they have been pretty strong at home. The Pirates are 30-25 at home this year, while the Diamondbacks are 25-26 on the road. Arizona is really struggling right now, and their offense has been pretty pathetic over the last five games. The Diamondbacks are starting Gallen, who has allowed five earned runs or more in three of his last five starts. The Pirates are going with Skenes, who has allowed a total of two earned runs in four of his last five outings. Take the under here.