Detroit Tigers vs Seattle Mariners Prediction 10/5/2025 Today’s MLB Picks

The Detroit Tigers and Seattle Mariners meet Sunday in Game 2 ALDS MLB action at T-Mobile Park. Here’s a Detroit Tigers vs Seattle Mariners Prediction. This article will include a Detroit Tigers vs Seattle Mariners Pick.

Detroit Tigers Betting Preview

The Detroit Tigers look to steal another road win to take a shocking 2-0 series lead. The Detroit Tigers are batting .206 on the season, have a .304 OBP, and a .284 slugging percentage. The Detroit Tigers pitching staff has a 2.43 ERA and a 0.89 WHIP. Riley Greene leads the Detroit Tigers with 6 hits and 1 RBI, while Kerry Carpenter and Javier Baez have combined for 10 and 4 RBI.

Tarik Skubal gets the ball for the Detroit Tigers, and he is 13-6 with a 2.21 ERA and 241 strikeouts this season. Skubal is 2-1 with a 2.03 ERA and 34 strikeouts in his postseason career. Skubal is 3-2 with a 3.77 ERA and 40 strikeouts in his career against the Seattle Mariners.

Seattle Mariners Betting Preview

The Seattle Mariners need a win to even things up at 1-1 to stay in the series. The Seattle Mariners are batting .158 on the season, have a .200 OBP, and a .237 slugging percentage. The Seattle Mariners pitching staff has a 2.45 ERA and a 1.00 WHIP. Julio Rodriguez leads the Seattle Mariners with 3 hits and 2 RBI, while Cal Raleigh and RandyArozarena have combined for 3 hits and 1 strikeout.

Luis Castillo gets the ball for the Seattle Mariners, and he is 11-8 with a 3.54 ERA and 162 strikeouts this season. Castillo is 1-2 with a 1.83 ERA and 19 strikeouts in his postseason career. Castillo is 2-4 with a 3.95 ERA and 49 strikeouts in his career against the Detroit Tigers.

Detroit Tigers @ Seattle Mariners Betting Trends: October 5, 2025

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Luis Castillo      Record this season: 11-8      ERA: 3.54
• Home Record: 5-4
• Last 5 against Tigers: 2-3

Why the Seattle Mariners will win

• The Tigers have lost seven of their last eight games as favorites.
• The Mariners have won each of their last five games as home underdogs against the Tigers.
• The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the last seven games between the Tigers and Mariners at T-Mobile Park.
• The Tigers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games as favorites against American League opponents.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Tarik Skubal      Record this season (inc. playoffs): 14-6      ERA: 2.17
• Road Record: 5-5
• Last 5 against Mariners: 3-2

Why the Detroit Tigers will win

• The Tigers have won each of their last five playoff games against AL West opponents.
• The Mariners have lost eight of their last nine night games against the Tigers at T-Mobile Park following a home loss.
• The Mariners have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 12 night games against the Tigers at T-Mobile Park following a home loss.
• The Tigers have covered the run line in each of their last 10 night games against the Mariners at T-Mobile Park following a win.
• The Mariners have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four games as underdogs against American League opponents.
• The Mariners have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four games.

Total Runs Facts

• Nine of the Mariners’ last 10 games following an extra innings loss have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Each of the Tigers’ last four playoff games against AL West opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Mariners’ last six games as home underdogs against American League opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in four of the Tigers’ last five games as favorites against American League opponents.

Seattle Mariners Player Prop Facts

• Julio Rodriguez has hit a home run in five of the Mariners’ last six games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
• Jorge Polanco has recorded at least one Double in four of the Mariners’ last five home games against AL opponents.
• Luis Castillo has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances in night games against AL teams that held a winning record.
• Luis Castillo has recorded six or more strikeouts in seven of his last eight appearances in night games against AL Central teams that held a winning record.
• Julio Rodriguez has recorded at least one hit in each of the Mariners’ last eight games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
• Cal Raleigh ranks 3rd amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.589) this season.

Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts

• Kerry Carpenter has hit a home run in three of his last four road appearances against AL West opponents that held a winning record.
• Tarik Skubal has recorded 10+ strikeouts in three of his last four appearances against AL West opponents.
• Riley Greene has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances against the Mariners after playing the previous day.
• Tarik Skubal ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for Earned Run Average (2.21) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Mariners rank 3rd in the league for home runs this season (238).
• The Mariners rank T3rd in the league for steals this season (161).
• The Tigers rank 26th in the league for strikeouts against this season (1454).
• The Tigers rank 23rd in the league for doubles this season (244).

Detroit Tigers vs Seattle Mariners Prediction

The Mariners at home feel like the safer option, given it’s a must-win game and a few playoff wins doesn’t make us forget about how the Tigers ended the regular season. With that said, the Tigers stole game 1 in extras and now are throwing out arguably the best pitcher in baseball to go up 2-0 going back home. The Tigers have to be on cloud nine right now and overflowing with confidence. Also, this is a homecoming for Skubal, as he pitched at Seattle University for three years and is in the SU Athletics Hall of Fame. Skubal should enjoy this one, and I’m not trying to step in front of him. Give me the Tigers.