Detroit Tigers vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction 08/02/2025 Today’s MLB Picks

The Detroit Tigers and the Philadelphia Phillies meet Saturday in MLB action from Citizens Bank Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Detroit Tigers vs. Philadelphia Phillies prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Detroit Tigers will send out Tarik Skubal for the start here and Skubal is 10-3 with a 2.09 ERA and 171 strikeouts this season. This will be Skubal’s second career start against the Phillies. The Philadelphia Phillies will start Zack Wheeler here and Wheeler is 9-4 with a 2.56 ERA and 172 strikeouts this season. In his career, Wheeler is 1-0 with a 2.45 ERA and 16 strikeouts against Detroit.

Detroit Tigers Recap

The Detroit Tigers come into this game looking to rebound from a 5-4 loss at the hands of the Phillies on Friday to sit at 64-47 on the year. After this series, the Tigers will head home for a big division series against the Minnesota Twins.

Tigers Have Four-Game Win Streak Snapped

Spencer Torkelson has 90 hits along with a .239 batting average including 23 home runs, 23 doubles and 63 RBIs. Kerry Carpenter also has 17 home runs and 35 RBIs while Riley Greene has 115 hits with 23 doubles, 26 home runs and 84 RBIs but also has a team-high 144 strikeouts as well this season. Dillon Dingler has 9 home runs and 42 RBIs and Zack McKinstry’s added 16 doubles, 8 triples, 9 home runs and 37 RBIs of his own along with 87 hits as well this season. Javier Baez has added 79 hits and 14 doubles as well as 10 home runs and 41 RBIs this season.

Why the Detroit Tigers will win

• The Tigers have won each of their last four games after playing the previous day.
• The Phillies have lost four of their last five day games against American League opponents.
• The Tigers have covered the run line in each of their last five games.
• The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six day games against American League opponents following a home win.

Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts

• Jake Rogers has hit a home run in each of his last three appearances with the Tigers as favorites against NL opponents.
• Gleyber Torres has recorded at least one hit in each of the Tigers’ last eight games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
• Tarik Skubal has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances against NL opponents.

Philadelphia Phillies Recap

The Philadelphia Phillies come into this game looking to build on their win over the Tigers from Friday’s opener to improve to 62-47 on the year. After this series, the Phillies will welcome the Baltimore Orioles to town for an interleague series.

Phillies Drop Back-To-Back Games

Nick Castellanos has 108 hits with 23 doubles including 14 home runs and 58 RBIs while Kyle Schwarber has 101 hits with a team-high 37 home runs and 86 RBIs but also has a team-high 126 strikeouts as well on the year. Bryce Harper has 10 stolen bases, 24 doubles, 15 home runs and 45 RBIs. Trea Turner also has 127 hits with a team-high 25 stolen bases. Max Kepler has 14 doubles and Bryson Stott has 12 doubles, 2 triples, 7 homers and 41 RBIs while Stott also has 16 stolen bases as well this season.

Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win

• The Tigers have lost each of their last nine Saturday games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Phillies have won nine of their last 10 games against the Tigers.
• The Tigers have failed to cover the run line each of their last nine Saturday games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Phillies have covered the run line in each of their last six games as underdogs against American League opponents.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

• Kyle Schwarber has hit at least one home run in each of the Phillies’ last three games as underdogs.
• Zack Wheeler has recorded nine or more strikeouts in four of his last five home appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
• Nick Castellanos has recorded at least one hit in 16 of his last 17 appearances against former teams.
• Bryce Harper has recorded a Double in each of his last four appearances with the Phillies as underdogs against AL Central opponents.
• Zack Wheeler has recorded a win in seven of his last eight Saturday appearances at Citizens Bank Park.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Phillies’ last five games as home underdogs have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Each of the Tigers’ last four games against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.

Detroit Tigers vs. Philadelphia Phillies Prediction

I’m on the under in this one. Maybe it’s a square play, but you have two perennial Cy Young pitchers or contenders for the award, two of the best in baseball going at it here and I could easily see a duel the entire way, maybe something in the ball park of a 2-1 game. Give me the under in what should be a fantastic matchup here.