Detroit Tigers vs Minnesota Twins Prediction 8/15/2025 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Tigers vs Twins Prediction for this MLB game on Friday, August 15th at the Target Field in the second game of this series, with the Tigers having the 1-0 lead. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Minnesota Twins Preview

The Minnesota Twins have a 57-64 record this season and are sitting on the 4th place of the AL Central. The Twins have a 32-26 home record and are 52-61 in over/under. They are coming off a 3-4 home defeat by the Tigers, and are 3-1 in their last 4 games. Under is 5-1 in their last 6 games and are playing the Athletics and the White Sox next.

The Twins have a .239 batting average this season, .309 OBP and .397 Slugging percentage. Minnesota’s pitching staff has a 4.26 ERA and 1.28 WHIP. Byron Buxton leads the Twins with 96 hits, leading the team both in RBI, with 60, and in home runs, with 24. He is also the team’s best hitter with a .282 batting average.

Pierson Ohl (R) is the projected starter for the Twins, and he has a 0-2 record, 7.15 ERA and 1.50 WHIP.

Detroit Tigers Preview

The Detroit Tigers have a 71-52 record this season and are sitting on the first place of the AL Central. The Tigers have a 32-28 road record and are 63-53 in over/under. They are coming off a 4-3 road victory over the Twins, and are 4-1 in their last 5 games. Under is 3-1 in their last 4 games and are playing the Royals and the Astros next.

The Tigers have a .249 batting average this season, .316 OBP and .421 slugging percentage. Detroit’s pitching staff has a 3.83 ERA and 1.22 WHIP. Riley Greene leads the Tigers with 124 hits, leading the team both in RBI, with 89, and in home runs, with 28. He is also the team’s best hitter with a .269 batting average.

Charlie Morton (R) is the projected starter for the Tigers, and he has a 7-10 record, 5.48 ERA and 1.53 WHIP.

Why the Minnesota Twins will win

• The Twins have won four of their last five games as home underdogs after going to extra innings.
• The Tigers have lost four of their last six games as favorites against American League opponents following a win.
• The Tigers have failed to cover the run line each of their last eight road games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Twins have covered the run line in nine of their last 10 games as underdogs following a loss.
• The Tigers have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five games at Target Field.
• The Tigers have trailed after 5 innings in five of their last six night games against opponents that held a losing record.
• The Twins have won the first inning in four of their last five games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.

Why the Detroit Tigers will win

• The Tigers have won each of their last nine games as favorites against the Twins following a road win.
• The Twins have lost seven of their last eight night games after going to extra innings.
• The Tigers have covered the run line in eight of their last nine games as favorites against the Twins following a road win.
• The Twins have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five home games after going to extra innings.
• The Twins have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Twins have trailed after 5 innings in five of their last six home games against American League opponents that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

• Six of the Tigers’ last seven road games against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Five of the Twins’ last six games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Tigers’ last nine road games against American League opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 10 of the last 11 night games between the Tigers and Twins at Target Field.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Twins rank 3rd in the league for walks allowed this season (322).
• The Twins rank 25th in the league for walks this season (354).
• The Tigers rank 30th in the league for steals this season (51).
• The Tigers rank 3rd in the league for triples this season (25).

Tigers vs Twins Prediction

The Tigers are 4-2 in their last 6 meetings against the Twins, and are 6-4 in their 10 meetings this season. The Tigers are also 3-1 in their last 4 visits in Minnesota. Over is 3-1 in their last 4 meetings.

In this Tigers vs Twins Prediction, the Tigers are coming as -130 road favorites. Ohl has been terrible in his two starts for the Twins this season, having given up 8 runs across 5.2 innings pitched, but I’m not rushing to the window to back Morton either. He has been terrible this season, and when he looked like he had figured things out, he got torched for 6 earned runs by the Angels in his last start. Both teams also rank on the bottom half of the league in bullpen ERA, so I’m expecting some runs in this game. Take the over 9.5 runs in this one.