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Detroit Tigers vs Kansas City Royals Prediction 6/1/25 MLB Picks
Pick details
Kansas City Royals (31-28) vs Detroit Tigers (38-21)
June 1, 2025 at 02:10 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Kansas City Royals -148 / Detroit Tigers +124 — Over/Under: 8.5
The Detroit Tigers are visiting the Kansas City Royals on Sunday, June 1st at the Kauffman Stadium in the third game of this series, with both teams being tied 1-1 wins. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Detroit Tigers vs Kansas City Royals Prediction. We will examine:
The Kansas City Royals recent form and player performance
The Detroit Tigers recent form and player performance
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Kansas City Royals
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Detroit Tigers
Recent betting trends in games played between the Detroit Tigers vs Kansas City Royals
A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Detroit Tigers vs Kansas City Royals game
Kansas City Royals Preview
The Kansas City Royals have a 31-28 record this season and are sitting on the 4th place of the AL Central. The Royals have a 19-12 home record and are 21-37 in over/under. They are coming off a 1-0 home victory against the Tigers, and are 3-5 in their last 8 games. They are playing the Cardinals and the White Sox next.
The Royals have a .246 batting average this season, .301 OBP and .361 Slugging percentage. Kansas’ pitching staff has a 3.16 ERA and 1.18 WHIP. Maikel Garcia leads the Royals with 66 hits and is the team’s best hitter with a .316 batting average. Bobby Witt Jr adds a team-high 31 RBI, while Vinnie Pasquantino leads the team in home runs, with 8.
Kris Bubic (L) will take the mound for the Royals, and he has a 5-2 record, 1.45 ERA and 1.01 WHIP. He has a 1.40 ERA in his four home starts, and he has been unhittable lately, with just one earned run in 25.1 innings pitched across his last four starts. Kris Bubic has a 2-0 record with an ERA of 2.64 and 40 strikeouts in 10 appearances against the Tigers in his career.
Detroit Tigers Preview
The Detroit Tigers have a 38-21 record this season and are sitting on the first place of the AL Central. The Tigers have a 17-13 road record and are 27-27 in over/under. They are coming off a 0-1 road defeat by the Royals, which ended their previous 5-game winning streak. Under is 8-2 in their last 10 games and are playing the White Sox and the Cubs next.
The Tigers have a .250 batting average this season, .323 OBP and .406 slugging percentage. Detroit’s pitching staff has a 3.22 ERA and 1.16 WHIP. Riley Greene leads the Tigers with 59 hits, while Spencer Torkelson leads the team in RBI, with 42, and in home runs with 14. Gleyber Torres is the team’s best hitter with a .274 batting average.
Keider Montero (R) will take the mound for the Tigers, and he has a 2-1 record, 4.54 ERA and 1.43 WHIP. He has been weaker on the road with a 5.30 ERA across two road starts, but he has been in great form lately, just two earned runs in 17.1 innings pitched across his last three starts. In his only previous start against the Royals last season, he gave up 4 runs in 7 innings of work.
Why the Kansas City Royals will win
- The Royals have won each of their last seven games as home favorites against AL Central opponents.
- The Tigers have lost each of their last five day games against the Royals following a road loss.
- The Royals have covered the run line in each of their last six games against American League opponents after playing the previous day.
- The Tigers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five road games against the Royals following a loss.
- The Tigers have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four games as road underdogs against AL Central opponents.
- The Royals have led after 5 innings in three of their last four games as favorites against AL Central opponents.
Why the Detroit Tigers will win
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- The Tigers have won each of their last 11 day games against American League opponents following a road loss.
- The Royals have lost each of their last six games as favorites.
- The Tigers have covered the run line in each of their last eight games against AL Central opponents following a road loss.
- The Royals have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games as favorites.
- The Tigers have led after 3 innings in seven of their last eight road day games.
- The Tigers have led after 5 innings in six of their last seven games.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Tigers’ last seven day games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Eight of the Royals’ last 10 home games against AL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in eight of the Tigers’ last nine day games.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last five day games between the Tigers and Royals.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Royals rank 30th in the league for home runs this season (34).
- The Royals rank 30th in the league for walks this season (141).
- The Tigers rank 30th in the league for steals this season (21).
- The Tigers rank 4th in the league for runs scored this season (295).
Detroit Tigers vs Kansas City Royals Prediction
The Tigers are 7-2 in their last 9 meetings against the Royals, and are 4-1 in their last 5 meetings in Kansas City. Under is 5-2-1 in their last 8 meetings.
In this Detroit Tigers vs Kansas City Royals Prediction, the Royals are coming as -150 home favorites. This line totally reflects the huge pitching advantage for the Royals, as the Tigers are have been arguably the better team this season. Bubic has been lights out this season, and Montero is coming in good form, with three straight quality starts. Both teams have top-7 bullpens, with a combined 6.70 ERA, and the Royals are still one of the worse offensive teams in the league, averaging just 3.3 runs per game. Yesterday’s game had only one run, and I expect another low-scoring affair today. Take the under 8.5 runs.
Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Under 8.5
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