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Detroit Tigers vs Chicago White Sox Prediction 8/11/2025 Today’s MLB Picks
Pick details
Detroit (68-51) vs Chicago (43-75)
August 11, 2025 at 07:40 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Chicago +115 — Over/Under: +8.5
The Detroit Tigers and the Chicago White Sox meet Monday in MLB action from Rate Field. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox prediction.
Starting Pitching Matchup
The Detroit Tigers will start Chris Paddack here and Paddack is 4-10 with a 4.91 ERA and 88 strikeouts this season. In his career, Paddack is 1-2 with a 5.75 ERA and 20 strikeouts against the White Sox. Elvis Peguero will get the start for the White Sox here and is 0-0 with a 4.91 ERA and 5 strikeouts this season. This will be Peguero’s first career start against the Tigers.
Detroit Tigers Recap
The Detroit Tigers come into this game looking to add on to their 9-5 win over the Los Angeles Angels last time out to sit at 68-51 this season. After this series, the Tigers will head on the road for a series against the Minnesota Twins.
Tigers Alternate Wins & Losses In 4 Straight
Spencer Torkelson has 99 hits along with a .241 batting average including 25 home runs, 23 doubles and 65 RBIs. Kerry Carpenter also has 21 home runs and 45 RBIs while Riley Greene has 120 hits with 23 doubles, 27 home runs and 87 RBIs but also has a team-high 156 strikeouts as well this season. Dillon Dingler has 10 home runs and 43 RBIs and Zack McKinstry’s added 17 doubles, 8 triples, 10 home runs and 39 RBIs of his own along with 93 hits as well this season. Javier Baez has added 87 hits and 15 doubles as well as 11 home runs and 47 RBIs this season.
Why the Detroit Tigers will win
- The White Sox have lost each of their last 12 Monday night games against AL Central opponents.
- The Tigers have won each of their last 11 Monday games as favorites.
- The Tigers have covered the run line in each of their last nine Monday games as favorites.
- The White Sox have failed to cover the run line each of their last five night games against teams that held a winning record.
Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts
- Chris Paddack has recorded five strikeouts in three of his last four appearances with his team as a favorite.
- Wenceel Perez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances against the White Sox.
- Kerry Carpenter has hit a home run in four of his last five appearances against AL Central opponents.
- Riley Greene ranks T8th in the league in Home Runs (27) this season.
Chicago White Sox Recap
The Chicago White Sox come into this game looking to add on to their 6-4 win over the Cleveland Guardians last time out to sit at 43-75 on the year. After this series, the White Sox will head on the road for a game against the Kansas City Royals.
White Sox Have Six-Game Win Streak Snapped
Lenyn Sosa has 100 hits including 16 doubles and 48 RBIs. Andrew Benintendi has 71 hits including 13 doubles, 14 home runs, 44 RBIs and a .226 batting average while Miguel Vargas has 90 hits, 25 doubles, 13 home runs and 44 RBIs. Brooks Baldwin has also added 26 RBIs while Luis Robert Jr. has a team-high 31 stolen bases along with 46 RBIs so far this season. Chase Meidroth has added 78 hits with 11 stolen bases as well as 12 doubles this season.
Why the Chicago White Sox will win
- The Tigers have lost each of their last three games as favorites against American League opponents following a home win.
- The White Sox have won five of their last six home games against the Tigers following a home win.
- The Tigers have failed to cover the run line in 11 of their last 12 night games against American League opponents.
- The White Sox have covered the run line in four of their last five games against the Tigers.
Chicago White Sox Player Prop Facts
- Michael A. Taylor has hit a home run in three of the White Sox’s last five games as underdogs.
- Andrew Benintendi has recorded at least one hit in eight of his last nine home appearances.
- Luis Robert ranks T5th in the league in Steals (31) this season.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Tigers’ last seven games as favorites against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Six of the White Sox’s last seven night games against AL Central opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox Prediction
I’m leaning towards the Tigers here. I don’t love Chris Paddack in this Tigers rotation and he did get hit fairly hard in his last start. However, the Tigers are playing the better baseball right now and while the White Sox salvaged something from their series against Cleveland, the Tigers are the better team that’s in need of the win here with the Guardians breathing down their necks. I’ll roll with Detroit to draw first blood here.