Pick details
| MATCHUP | Detroit Tigers | Boston Red Sox |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 10-9 | 7-11 |
| Where | Fenway Park, Boston, Massachusetts | |
| When | Friday, April 17, 2026 | |
| Time | 07:15 PM EDT | |
| TV | Apple TV | |
Detroit Tigers Betting Preview
The Detroit Tigers are 10-9 on the year and play the Brewers and Reds next. The Detroit Tigers are batting .245 on the season and have a .329 OBP, and a .382 slugging percentage. The Detroit Tigers pitching staff has a 3.66 ERA and a 1.27 WHIP. Kevin McGonigle leads the Detroit Tigers with 21 hits and 8 RBI, while Colt Keith and Riley Greene have combined for 37 hits and 17 RBI.
Casey Mize gets the ball for the Detroit Tigers, and he is 1-1 with a 3.94 ERA and 18 strikeouts this season. Mize is 0-1 with a 3.95 ERA and 22 strikeouts in his career against the Boston Red Sox.
Boston Red Sox Betting Preview
The Boston Red Sox are 7-11 on the year and play the Orioles and Yankees next. The Boston Red Sox are batting .239 on the season, have a .322 OBP, and have a .355 slugging percentage. The Boston Red Sox pitching staff has a 4.55 ERA and a 1.35 WHIP. Wilyer Abreu leads the Boston Red Sox with 22 hits and 10 RBI, while Trevor Story and Willson Contreras have combined for 33 hits and 28 RBI.
Ranger Suarez gets the ball for the Boston Red Sox, and he is 1-1 with a 5.02 ERA and 11 strikeouts this season. Suarez is 0-1 with a 3.14 ERA and 10 strikeouts in his career against the Detroit Tigers.
Why the Boston Red Sox will win
- The Tigers have lost each of their last eight road games against the Red Sox following a win.
- The Red Sox have won each of their last 10 Friday night games against the Tigers.
- The Tigers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight night games against teams that held a losing record.
- The Tigers have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five road games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
- The Red Sox have led after 5 innings in seven of their last nine games at Fenway Park against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
Why the Detroit Tigers will win
- The Red Sox have lost each of their last six night games against American League opponents.
- The Tigers have won each of their last five games after playing the previous day.
- The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games as home favorites against American League opponents.
- The underdogs have covered the run line in seven of the last eight games between the Tigers and Red Sox.
- The Tigers have led after 5 innings in seven of their last nine games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Red Sox’s last four home games against American League opponents has gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Five of the Tigers’ last six games as underdogs against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Red Sox’s last six games as favorites against American League opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Tigers’ last six games as underdogs against American League opponents.
Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts
- Ranger Suarez has recorded six or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
- Willson Contreras has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine home appearances against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- Triston Casas has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances in night games against AL teams that held a winning record.
- Willson Contreras ranks 7th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.444) this season.
Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts
- Spencer Torkelson has hit a home run in five of his last 12 appearances against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
- Casey Mize has recorded eight or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances in night games.
- Javier Baez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances with the Tigers as underdogs against AL East opponents.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Red Sox rank T27th in the league for steals this season (7).
- The Red Sox rank 26th in the league for strikeouts this season (142).
- The Tigers rank T26th in the league for home runs this season (14).
- The Tigers rank T5th in the league for doubles this season (37).
Detroit Tigers vs Boston Red Sox Prediction
We’re getting plus money with a Tigers team that’s caught fire this week, so that’s where I’m leaning. Mize has also been sharper than Suarez, who has a 5.02 ERA and 1.47 WHIP through 14.1 innings. Mize has been strong in two of his three starts and is fresh off 5.2 innings against the Marlins, where he allowed just one run and struck out five. The Red Sox are better than what they’ve shown this season, but the Tigers are hot. I’ll gladly take the more favorable price.
Randy Chambers's Pick: Detroit Tigers
