Cubs vs Cardinals Prediction 7/30/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article we will formulate a Cubs vs Cardinals prediction for this MLB game on Thursday, July 30th at Busch Stadium in St. Louis, Missouri. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Chicago Cubs Betting Preview

The Chicago Cubs are 61-47 this season after they won two of the first three games in this series by scores of 7-3, 10-2, and 2-3. In game three, Chicago led 2-0 in the 10th inning, but they couldn’t hold the lead for the loss. The Cubs recorded three hits in the game and they were led by Crow-Armstrong, who went 1-5 with one home run and two RBIs. Boyd allowed four hits and zero earned runs over 7.0 innings, while Thornton blew the save and got the loss. Prior to this series, Chicago won two out of three against the Pirates, but lost two out of three against the Tigers before that. 

This season, Chicago has a 4.18 ERA with a 1.26 WHIP and a .245 opponent batting average, while they have scored 560 runs with a .248 batting average and a .340 on base percentage. Dansby Swanson has led the Cubs with 16 home runs and 61 RBIs, while Ian Happ has added 18 home runs and 47 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Chicago is Javier Assad, who is 6-1 with a 3.86 ERA and a 1.12 WHIP over 65.1 innings pitched this season. 

St. Louis Cardinals Betting Preview

The St. Louis Cardinals are 54-54 this year after they won game three by a score of 3-2 on Wednesday night. St. Louis pitched a great game, but they needed three runs in the 10th to escape with the win. The Cardinals recorded seven hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Herrera, who went 3-5 with two RBIs. May allowed one hit and zero earned runs over 5.0 innings, while Gastelum picked up the win. Prior to this series, St. Louis lost two out of three against the Reds and lost a makeup game with the Diamondbacks. 

This season, St. Louis has a 4.18 ERA with a 1.34 WHIP and a .254 opponent batting average, while they have scored 474 runs with a .239 batting average and a .315 on base percentage. Jordan Walker has led the Cardinals with 22 home runs and 78 RBIs, while Alec Burleson has added 15 home runs and 71 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for St. Louis is Andre Pallante, who is 11-6 with a 3.77 ERA and a 1.21 WHIP over 112.1 innings pitched this year. 

Why the St. Louis Cardinals will win

• The Cardinals have won six of their last seven games against the Cubs after going to extra innings.
• The Cubs have lost 17 of their last 21 day games against the Cardinals at Busch Stadium following a loss.
• The Cubs have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six games against National League opponents after going to extra innings.
• The Cardinals have covered the run line in four of their last five games as home favorites following an extra innings win.
• The Cardinals have led after 3 innings in each of their last three day games against National League opponents.

Why the Chicago Cubs will win

• The Cardinals have lost each of their last six day games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Cubs have won four of their last five games as road underdogs against National League opponents following a loss.
• The Cubs have covered the run line in each of their last nine games as road underdogs.
• The Cardinals have failed to cover the run line in 14 of their last 15 games as favorites against National League opponents.
• The Cubs have led after 5 innings in three of their last four games against the Cardinals.

Total Runs Facts

• Nine of the Cardinals’ last 10 games following an extra innings win have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Each of the Cubs’ last four day games against NL Central opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in seven of the Cubs’ last eight games as underdogs.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in six of the Cardinals’ last seven games as home favorites against NL Central opponents.

St. Louis Cardinals Player Prop Facts

• Jordan Walker has recorded at least one hit in each of the Cardinals’ last seven day games against opponents that held a winning record.
• Andre Pallante has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances with the Cardinals as home favorites.
• Jordan Walker has hit a home run in three of the Cardinals’ last six day games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.

Chicago Cubs Player Prop Facts

• Ian Happ has hit a home run in four of the Cubs’ last five Thursday games as underdogs.
• Javier Assad has recorded four or more strikeouts in three of his last four appearances with the Cubs as underdogs.
• Seiya Suzuki has recorded at least one hit in each of the Cubs’ last 10 games as road underdogs.

Cubs vs Cardinals Prediction 

St. Louis picked up a much needed win on Wednesday night in game three and they will try for the series split here. The Cardinals are 28-31 at home this year, while the Cubs are 31-25 on the road. Chicago has won three of their last five games and they have scored 7+ runs in four of those five. The Cubs are starting Assad, who has allowed two earned runs in his last 13.2 innings, while Pallante has allowed 3+ earned runs in three of his last five starts. Take the Cubs on the road here.

David Racey's Pick: Cubs ML