Jun 30, 2026; Bronx, New York, USA; Detroit Tigers starting pitcher Tarik Skubal (29) pitches against the New York Yankees during the second inning at Yankee Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Brad Penner-Imagn Images
Brad Penner-Imagn Images

Orioles vs Tigers Prediction 7/29/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

Pick details

MATCHUP Baltimore Orioles Detroit Tigers
Team Records 52-56 51-57
Spread +1.5 -155 -1.5 128
Moneyline +142 -172
Total Over 8 (-106) Under 8 (-113)
Where Comerica Park, Detroit, Michigan
When Wednesday, July 29, 2026
Time 01:10 PM EDT
TV MLB.TV

In this article we will formulate an Orioles vs Tigers prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, July 29th at Comerica Park in Detroit, Michigan. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview

The Baltimore Orioles are 52-56 this season after they split the first two games by scores of 8-5 and 0-14. In game two, Baltimore fell behind in the first inning and never had a chance in the blowout loss. The Orioles recorded three hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Holliday, who went 2-3. Kremer allowed eight hits and eight earned runs over 4.0 innings for the loss, while Tromp allowed two earned runs in relief. Prior to this series, Baltimore lost two out of three against the Braves and two out of three against the Red Sox. 

This season, Baltimore has a 4.21 ERA with a 1.35 WHIP and a .253 opponent batting average, while they have scored 491 runs with a .237 batting average and a .321 on base percentage. Pete Alonso has led the Orioles with 22 home runs and 67 RBIs, while Gunnar Henderson has added 18 home runs and 45 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Baltimore is Trevor Rogers, who is 6-7 with a 4.17 ERA and a 1.27 WHIP over 103.2 innings pitched this season. 

Detroit Tigers Betting Preview

The Detroit Tigers are 51-57 this year after they won game two by a score of 14-0 on Tuesday night. Detroit scored at least one run in every inning, which led to the easy victory. The Tigers recorded 19 hits in the game and they were led by Torres, who went 2-5 with one home run and five RBIs. Melton allowed three hits and zero earned runs over 7.0 innings for the win, while Madden closed out the last two innings. Prior to this series, Detroit split four games with the Royals and won two out of three against the Cubs. 

This season, Detroit has a 3.60 ERA with a 1.22 WHIP and a .232 opponent batting average, while they have scored 464 runs with a .239 batting average and a .314 on base percentage. Dillon Dingler has led the Tigers with 22 home runs and 68 RBIs, while Riley Greene has added 15 home runs and 52 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Detroit is Tarik Skubal, who is 7-5 with a 2.70 ERA and a 0.92 WHIP over 90.0 innings pitched this year. 

Why the Detroit Tigers will win

  • The Tigers have won seven of their last eight day games against the Orioles at Comerica Park following a win.
  • The Orioles have lost five of their last six games at Comerica Park.
  • The Tigers have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games against AL East opponents following a win.
  • The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven day games at Comerica Park following a loss.
  • The Orioles have trailed after 5 innings in five of their last six day games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.

Why the Baltimore Orioles will win

  • The Tigers have lost 12 of their last 13 day games against teams that held a losing record.
  • The Orioles have won eight of their last nine games against AL Central opponents following a road loss.
  • The Tigers have failed to cover the run line each of their last six day games against teams that held a losing record.
  • The Orioles have covered the run line in eight of their last nine games against American League opponents that held a losing record.

Total Runs Facts

  • Seven of the Orioles’ last eight road games against AL Central opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • Each of the Tigers’ last three games as favorites against AL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in 11 of Tarik Skubal’s last 12 appearances as a starter.
  • There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in eight of the Orioles’ last nine games as underdogs against American League opponents.

Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts

  • Tarik Skubal has recorded nine or more strikeouts in each of his last five appearances with the Tigers as favorites against AL opponents.
  • Hao-Yu Lee has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances after playing the previous day.
  • Tarik Skubal has recorded a win in eight of his last nine appearances at Comerica Park against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Eduardo Valencia has hit at least one home run in each of his two previous home appearances with the Tigers against AL opponents.

Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts

  • Christian Encarnacion-Strand has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances with his team as a road underdog against AL opponents.
  • Christian Encarnacion-Strand has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances in day games against teams that held a losing record.
  • Trevor Rogers has recorded five or more strikeouts in three of his last four appearances against AL Central opponents.

Orioles vs Tigers Prediction 

Detroit was able to snap their losing streak with a blowout win on Tuesday night in game two, as they continue to try and get back in the playoff race. The Tigers are 30-26 at home this year, while the Orioles are 23-29 on the road. Baltimore has alternated wins and losses over their last five games and they have allowed 5+ runs in three of those five. The Orioles are starting Rogers, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in five straight outings, while Skubal has allowed two earned runs or fewer in five straight. Take the under here.

David Racey's Pick: Under 8

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