Cleveland Guardians vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction MLB Picks 6/16/24

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Toronto Blue Jays (34-36) vs Cleveland Guardians (44-24)

June 16, 2024 at 01:37 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Toronto Blue Jays -136 / Cleveland Guardians +125 — Over/Under: 7.5

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The Cleveland Guardians and the Toronto Blue Jays meet Sunday in MLB action from Rogers Centre. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Cleveland Guardians vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Cleveland Guardians will send out Ben Lively and Lively is 6-2 with a 2.59 ERA and 48 strikeouts this season. This will be Lively’s first career start against Toronto. The Toronto Blue Jays will send out Jose Berrios and Berrios is 5-5 with a 2.93 ERA and 64 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against Cleveland, Berrios is 0-2 with a 6.84 ERA and 19 strikeouts.

Cleveland Guardians Recap

The Cleveland Guardians come into this one looking to bounce back and win the rubber match after a 5-0 loss in Saturday’s matchup, evening the series up at one win apiece. The loss put the Guardians’ series unbeaten streak at risk after series splits with the Reds and Royals along with a series win over the Marlins sandwiched in the middle.

Guardians Having Issues With Consistency Offensively

Jose Ramirez leads the Guardians with 71 hits as well as 18 home runs and 62 RBIs while Josh Naylor also has 17 home runs and 50 RBIs of his own. Ramirez has a team-high 14 doubles while Tyler Freeman has 12 doubles and Andres Gimenez has 35 RBIs with a team-high 11 stolen bases as well this season, sharing the team lead with the aforementioned Ramirez.

Why the Cleveland Guardians will win

  • The Guardians have won seven of their last eight games as underdogs against the Blue Jays following a loss.
  • The Blue Jays have lost six of their last seven games as favorites against the Guardians following a win.
  • The Guardians have covered the run line in each of their last six games as road underdogs against AL East opponents following a loss.
  • The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 10 home games following a home win.
  • The Guardians have led after 5 innings in three of their last four games as underdogs.

Toronto Blue Jays Recap

The Toronto Blue Jays will try to win the series after bouncing back with a shutout win in Saturday’s matchup. A win here would help the Blue Jays bounce back after their series loss to the Milwaukee Brewers to start the week.

Blue Jays Looking For Breakout At The Plate

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. leads the Blue Jays with 74 hits including 12 doubles, 7 home runs and 30 RBIs along with a .277 batting average and a .367 OBP. Daulton Varsho’s chipped in a team-high 10 home runs and 31 RBIs in addition to 14 doubles. Davis Schneider has a team-high 14 doubles while George Springer has a team-high 8 stolen bases. Varsho also has a team-high 60 strikeouts as well this season.

Why the Toronto Blue Jays will win

  • The Blue Jays have won each of their last five day games against American League opponents.
  • The Blue Jays have covered the run line in each of their last four games as favorites after playing the previous day.
  • The Guardians have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four road games against American League opponents after playing the previous day.
  • The Blue Jays have led after 3 innings in each of their last five day games against American League opponents.
  • The Blue Jays have led after 5 innings in each of their last six day games.

Cleveland Guardians vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction

I’m on the Blue Jays here. The Guardians have a solid record but they’ve shown inconsistencies at the dish in spots, and I think this is a spot where the Blue Jays could take advantage. Jose Berrios has been outstanding at home this season and I think Lively is pitching above his pay grade for his standards and I think at a certain point, his luck runs out and I think we’ve reached that point. Give me the Blue Jays.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Toronto -136

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