Miami Marlins vs Washington Nationals Prediction MLB Picks 6/16/24

In this article we will formulate a Miami Marlins vs Washington Nationals prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, June 16th at Nationals Park in Washington, DC. To formulate this prediction for game three in the series, we will examine:

• The Marlins recent form and recent player performance 
• The Nationals recent form and recent play performance
• Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Miami
• Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Washington 
• Recent betting trends in games played between Miami and Washington 
• A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between Miami and Washington 

Marlins Struggling to Score 

The Miami Marlins are 23-47 this season and they have lost four games in a row. Miami has dropped the first two games in this series and they have only scored a total of one run in two games. Prior to this series, the Marlins lost two out of three against the Guardians, lost both games against the Rays, and lost two out of three against the Rangers. Miami is 2-10 in their last 12 games and they are last in the NL East standings. 

The Miami pitching staff has a 4.72 ERA, a 1.38 WHIP, and a .255 opponent batting average. The Marlins offense has scored 244 runs with a .232 batting average and a .284 on base percentage. Josh Bell is batting .236 with seven home runs and 31 RBI’s for the Marlins this season. Miami is second to last in the MLB in runs scored and they have scored three runs or fewer in nine of their last twelve games. 

Nationals Continue to Win 

The Washington Nationals are 34-36 this year and they have won seven of their last eight games. Washington has won the first two games in this series by scores of 8-1 and 4-0. Prior to this series, the Nationals won three out of four against the Braves, lost all three against the Mets, and lost two out of three against the Guardians. Washington is 13-9 in their last 22 games and they are third in the NL East standings. 

The Washington pitching staff has a 3.88 ERA, a 1.28 WHIP, and a .251 opponent batting average. The Nationals offense has scored 286 runs with a .235 batting average and a .305 on base percentage. CJ Abrams is batting .257 with 11 home runs and 36 RBI’s for the Nationals this season. Washington has scored at least four runs in six of their last seven games. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Miami is Jesus Luzardo, who is 3-5 with a 5.11 ERA and a 1.22 WHIP over 61.2 innings pitched this year. Luzardo has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last five starts, but he did allow nine earned runs and nine hits over 4.1 innings against the Rays two starts ago. The projected starting pitcher for Washington is Mitchell Parker, who is 4-3 with a 3.21 ERA and a 1.09 WHIP over 61.2 innings pitched this season. Parker has allowed three earned runs or fewer in five straight starts and went 4.2 scoreless innings against Detroit in his last outing. 

Why the Washington Nationals will win

The Marlins have lost each of their last nine games after playing the previous day.The favorites have won each of the last 10 games between the Marlins and Nationals at Nationals Park.The favorites have covered the run line in each of the Marlins’ last eight games at Nationals Park.The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games as underdogs after playing the previous day.

Total Runs Facts

Six of the Nationals’ last seven day games against National League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.Eleven of the Marlins’ last 14 games against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Marlins’ last three day games at Nationals Park.The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Nationals’ last five Sunday games.

Miami Marlins vs Washington Nationals Prediction 

Washington comes into this game playing very well over the last week and they are looking to complete the series sweep with a win here. The Nationals are 15-17 at home this year, while Miami is just 11-22 on the road. Miami has been one of the worst teams in the MLB this season and their offense has been awful for three straight games. I do think Luzardo is the slightly better pitcher in this matchup, but I can’t trust the Marlins to generate enough runs. My Miami Marlins vs Washington Nationals prediction is for the Nationals to win.