Cincinnati Reds vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction MLB Picks 6/16/24

Milwaukee Brewers (41-29) vs Cincinnati Reds (34-36)

Game Info: Sunday, June 16, 2024 at 2:10 pm (American Family Field)

Colin Rea (5-2) (3.31) vs Frankie Montas (3-5) (4.55)

Betting Odds: Milwaukee Brewers -132 / Cincinnati Reds +121 --- Over/Under: 9 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Cincinnati Reds and Milwaukee Brewers meet Sunday in MLB game 3 action at American Family Field. Here’s a Cincinnati Reds vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction.

Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview

The Cincinnati Reds are 34-36 on the year and play the Pirates and Red Sox next. The Cincinnati Reds have scored 11 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 6 of their last 10 games. The Cincinnati Reds have won 8 straight games when scoring 4 or more runs. Jeimer Candelario leads the Cincinnati Reds with 59 hits and 34 RBI, while Elly De La Cruz and Spencer Steer have combined for 116 hits and 71 RBI.

Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview

The Milwaukee Brewers are 41-29 on the year and play the Angels and Padres next. The Milwaukee Brewers have scored 13 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 4 of their last 8 games. The Milwaukee Brewers have won 10 of their last 11 games when scoring 4 or more runs. William Contreras leads the Milwaukee Brewers with 85 hits and 48 RBI, while WIlly Adames and Brice Turang have combined for 130 hits and 72 RBI.

Cincinnati Reds vs Milwaukee Brewers Pitching Matchup

Frankie Montas gets the ball for the Cincinnati Reds, and he is 3-5 with a 4.55 ERA and 44 strikeouts this season. Montas has allowed 6 hits and 4 runs in his last 8.1 innings. Montas has a 4.81 ERA and .217 allowed batting average in 24.1 road innings. Montas is 0-1 with a 7.56 ERA and 6 strikeouts in his career against the Milwaukee Brewers.

Colin Rea gets the ball for the Milwaukee Brewers, and he is 5-2 with a 3.31 ERA and 48 strikeouts this season. Rea has allowed 7 hits and 1 run in his last 11 innings. Rea has a 2.72 ERA and .212 allowed batting average in 36.1 home innings. Rea is 4-0 with a 5.47 ERA and 29 strikeouts in his career against the Cincinnati Reds.

Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win

  • The Reds have lost nine of their last 10 day games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Brewers have won eight of their last nine home games after playing the previous day.
  • The Brewers have covered the run line in 10 of their last 11 day games against National League opponents following a win.
  • The Reds have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games against National League opponents after playing the previous day.

Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts

  • Willy Adames has recorded at least one RBI in four of the Brewers' last five games as favorites.
  • Christian Yelich has recorded two or more total bases in nine of his last 10 appearances against the Reds after playing the previous day.
  • Willy Adames has scored at least one run in five of the Brewers' last six games against NL Central opponents.
  • Christian Yelich has recorded at least one Single in each of his last eight home appearances against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
  • Christian Yelich has recorded at least one hit in each of the Brewers' last 10 games against the Reds.
  • William Contreras has hit a home run in two of the Brewers' last three home games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.

Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts

  • TJ Friedl has hit a home run in three of the Reds' last five day games.
  • Jeimer Candelario has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances against NL opponents at American Family Field.
  • Jeimer Candelario has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Reds' last four games.
  • Elly De La Cruz has scored at least one run in each of the Reds' last five games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
  • Tyler Stephenson has recorded at least one Single in eight of the Reds' last nine road games against NL opponents.
  • Jonathan India has recorded at least one total base in each of his last seven appearances against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
  • Jeimer Candelario has recorded at least one hit in each of the Reds' last seven road games.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Milwaukee Brewers rank 4th in the league for batting average this season (.254).
  • The Milwaukee Brewers rank 4th in the league for walks this season (251).
  • The Cincinnati Reds rank 27th in the league for batting average this season (.226).
  • The Cincinnati Reds rank 24th in the league for strikeouts against this season (633).

Cincinnati Reds vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction

The Milwaukee Brewers have been the sharper, more consistent team this season, they're at home and they have the pitching edge. The Brewers and the cheap price on Sunday has to be one of the better bets on this card. Frankie Montas has been hit or miss all season, and he's had more misses than hits on the road. Colin Rea has pitched like an all star caliber pitcher for much of the season, and he's been nearly unhittable at home. I'll gladly take the Brewers and the cheap price at home in game 3 against the Reds.

Randy’s Pick Milwaukee Brewers -132

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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