Cleveland Guardians vs New York Mets Prediction 08/05/2025 Today’s MLB Picks

The Cleveland Guardians and New York Mets meet Tuesday in MLB action at Citi Field. Here’s a Cleveland Guardians vs New York Mets Prediction. This article will include a Cleveland Guardians vs New York Mets Pick.

Cleveland Guardians Betting Preview

The Cleveland Guardians are 57-55 on the year and play the White Sox, Marlins, and Braves next. The Cleveland Guardians are batting .229 on the season, have a .301 OBP, and a .377 slugging percentage. The Cleveland Guardians pitching staff has a 3.87 ERA and a 1.30 WHIP. Jose Ramirez leads the Cleveland Guardians with 123 hits and 61 RBI, while Steven Kwan and Carlos Santana have combined for 203 hits and 85 RBI. 

Logan Allen gets the ball for the Cleveland Guardians, and he is 7-9 with a 4.06 ERA and 81 strikeouts this season. This will be Allen’s first career game against the New York Mets.

New York Mets Betting Preview

The New York Mets are 63-50 on the year and play the Brewers, Braves, and Mariners next. The New York Mets are batting .241 on the season, have a .320 OBP, and a .408 slugging percentage. The New York Mets pitching staff has a 3.68 ERA and a 1.32 WHIP. Francisco Lindor leads the New York Mets with 114 hits and 64 RBI while Pete Alonso and Brandon Nimmo have combined for 218 hits and 153 RBI.

Clay Holmes gets the ball for the New York Mets, and he is 9-6 with a 3.45 ERA and 91 strikeouts this season. Holmes is 0-1 with a 4.05 ERA and 9 strikeouts in his career against the Cleveland Guardians.

Why the New York Mets will win

• The Mets have won each of their last eight home games after going to extra innings.
• The Guardians have lost nine of their last 11 road games following an extra innings win.
• The Mets have covered the run line in each of their last eight games as home favorites after going to extra innings.
• The Guardians have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five games after playing the previous day following an extra innings win.

Why the Cleveland Guardians will win

• The Guardians have won five of their last six games as underdogs after playing the previous day.
• The Mets have lost three of their last four games as home favorites.
• The Mets have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight games as favorites against American League opponents following a home loss.
• The Guardians have covered the run line each of their last six road games against teams that held a winning record.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

• Pete Alonso has hit a home run in four of the Mets’ last five home games.
• Starling Marte has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 Tuesday appearances against AL Central teams that held a winning record.

Cleveland Guardians Player Prop Facts

• Jose Ramirez has hit a home run in three of the Guardians’ last four road games against opponents that held a winning record.
• Steven Kwan has recorded at least one hit in 17 of his last 18 appearances against NL East opponents.
• Jose Ramirez ranks T7th in the league in Hits (123) this season.

Cleveland Guardians vs New York Mets Prediction

Holmes has pitched well this season with a 3.45 ERA and 1.32 WHIP, but it doesn’t matter with the way the Mets are playing. The Mets are back to being a mess, right when it looked like they were turning the corner. The Guardians are piling up the wins lately, and Allen is coming off a strong July where he allowed 26 hits and 12 runs in 30.2 innings. The Mets keep finding ways to lose, and they’re just a team I’m trying to back until they get their act together. So, Guardians it is.