Cincinnati Reds vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction 4/20/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

The Cincinnati Reds and Tampa Bay Rays meet Monday in MLB action at Tropicana Field. Here’s a Cincinnati Reds vs. Tampa Bay Rays Prediction. This article will include a Cincinnati Reds vs. Tampa Bay Rays Pick.

Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview

The Cincinnati Reds are 14-8 on the year and play the Rockies and Tigers next. The Cincinnati Reds are batting. 202 on the season, have a .297 OBP, and have a .326 slugging percentage. The Cincinnati Reds pitching staff has a 3.46 ERA and a 1.35 WHIP. Elly De La Cruz leads the Cincinnati Reds with 23 hits and 12 RBI, while Sal Stewart and Eugenio Suarez have combined for 42 hits and 31 RBI.

Rhett Lowder gets the ball for the Cincinnati Reds, and he is 2-1 with a 3.52 ERA and 15 strikeouts this season. This will be Lowder’s second career game against the Tampa Bay Rays.

Tampa Bay Rays Betting Preview

The Tampa Bay Rays are 12-9 on the year and play the Twins and Guardians next. The Tampa Bay Rays are batting .259 on the season, have a .331 OBP, and have a .383 slugging percentage. The Tampa Bay Rays pitching staff has a 4.47 ERA and a 1.28 WHIP. Yandy Diaz leads the Tampa Bay Rays with 28 hits and 16 RBI, while Junior Caminero and Chandler Simpson have combined for 49 hits and 14 RBI.

The Tampa Bay Rays didn’t announce a starting pitcher at the time this article was published.

Why the Tampa Bay Rays will win

• The Rays have won each of their last six Monday home games against National League opponents.
• The Reds have lost four of their last five games at Tropicana Field.
• The Rays have covered the run line each of their last five games at Tropicana Field against teams that held a winning record.
• The Reds have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four road games against AL East opponents following a win.
• The Rays have led after 5 innings in seven of their last eight Monday games.

Why the Cincinnati Reds will win

• The Reds have won eight of their last nine games as underdogs against American League opponents.
• The Rays have lost seven of their last eight games as home favorites after playing the previous day.
• The Reds have covered the run line each of their last seven road games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Rays have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine games as home favorites following a loss.
• The Reds have led after 5 innings in five of their last six road games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
• The Reds have led after 3 innings in three of their last four road games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

• Seven of the Reds’ last eight games as underdogs have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Seven of the Rays’ last eight games as favorites against NL Central opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in six of the Reds’ last seven games as underdogs.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 14 of the last 17 games between the Reds and Rays.

Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts

• Yandy Diaz has recorded at least one hit in each of the Rays’ last six home games against opponents that held a winning record.
• Yandy Diaz has hit a home run in four of his last six appearances against the Reds after playing the previous day.
• Chandler Simpson ranks T2nd in the league in Hits (28) this season.

Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts

• Elly De La Cruz has recorded at least one hit in each of the Reds’ last nine games against AL opponents.
• Jose Trevino has hit a home run in two of his last three road appearances against AL East opponents that held a winning record.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Rays rank 3rd in the league for batting average this season (.259).
• The Rays rank T4th in the league for steals this season (24).
• The Reds rank 30th in the league for batting average this season (.202).
• The Reds rank 30th in the league for slugging percentage this season (.326).

Cincinnati Reds vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction

It would be nice to know who the Rays are throwing out there on the mound, but I’m rolling with the Reds anyway. The Reds are playing better baseball overall and they’ve been road warriors this season, where they’re 8-2 on the season. Lowder has also been respectable with his 3.52 ERA and 1.13 WHIP through 23 innings. He’s only allowed one home run and his ground ball numbers are improving over his last two starts. I’m not sure how long it’s going to last but the Reds look good. I’ll side with the Reds on the road.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Cincinnati Reds