Cincinnati Reds vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction MLB Picks 6/15/24

Pick details

Milwaukee Brewers (40-28) vs Cincinnati Reds (33-35)

June 15, 2024 at 04:10 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Milwaukee Brewers -133 / Cincinnati Reds +113 — Over/Under: 8.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The Cincinnati Reds and Milwaukee Brewers meet Saturday in MLB game 2 action at American Family Field. Here’s a Cincinnati Reds vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction.

Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview

The Cincinnati Reds look to get back to a .500 record after games against the Cubs and Guardians. The Cincinnati Reds have scored 13 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 6 of their last 9 games. The Cincinnati Reds have won 8 straight games when scoring 4 or more runs. Elly De La Cruz leads the Cincinnati Reds with 59 hits and 30 RBI, while Jeimer Candelario and Spencer Steer have combined for 114 hits and 74 RBI.

Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview

The Milwaukee Brewers are 40-29 on the year after games against the Tigers and Blue Jays. The Milwaukee Brewers have scored 10 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 4 of their last 8 games. The Milwaukee Brewers have won 11 of their last 12 games when scoring 4 or more runs. William Contreras leads the Milwaukee Brewers with 85 hits and 48 RBI, while Willy Adames and Brice Turang have combined for 130 hits and 72 RBI.

Cincinnati Reds vs Milwaukee Brewers Pitching Matchup

Andrew Abbott gets the ball for the Cincinnati Reds, and he is 5-5 with a 3.28 ERA and 57 strikeouts this season. Abbott has allowed 12 hits and 4 runs in his last 11 innings. Abbott has a 3.24 ERA and .218 allowed batting average in 41.2 road innings. Abbott is 2-2 with a 3.22 ERA and 24 strikeouts in his career against the Milwaukee Brewers.

Bryse Wilson gets the ball for the Milwaukee Brewers, and he is 3-3 with a 4.19 ERA and 44 strikeouts this season. Wilson has allowed 12 hits and 10 runs in his last 10 innings. Wilson has a 3.27 ERA and .241 allowed batting average in 22 home innings. Wilson is 2-2 with a 2.66 ERA and 29 strikeouts in his career against the Cincinnati Reds.

Why the Cincinnati Reds will win

  • The underdogs have won five of the last six games between the Reds and Brewers.
  • The Brewers have lost three of their last four games as favorites against National League opponents.
  • The Reds have covered the run line in seven of their last eight road games.
  • The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine games as favorites against National League opponents following a home loss.

Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts

  • William Contreras has hit a home run in each of the Brewers’ last two home games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
  • Christian Yelich has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Brewers’ last six games against the Reds.
  • Willy Adames has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Brewers’ last four games as favorites.
  • Christian Yelich has scored at least one run in eight of his last nine appearances in day games against NL Central teams that held a losing record.
  • Christian Yelich has recorded at least one Single in each of his last seven home appearances against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
  • William Contreras has recorded at least one hit in each of the Brewers’ last 17 games at American Family Field against NL opponents that held a losing record.

Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts

  • Jeimer Candelario has hit a home run in three of the Reds’ last four road games against NL opponents.
  • Elly De La Cruz has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Reds’ last four games against the Brewers.
  • Elly De La Cruz has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Reds’ last four road games against NL opponents.
  • Elly De La Cruz has scored at least one run in each of the Reds’ last four games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
  • Tyler Stephenson has recorded at least one Single in seven of the Reds’ last eight road games.
  • Tyler Stephenson has recorded at least one hit in each of his last seven appearances in day games against teams that held a winning record.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Milwaukee Brewers rank 4th in the league for batting average this season (.255).
  • The Milwaukee Brewers rank 4th in the league for walks this season (248).
  • The Cincinnati Reds rank 26th in the league for batting average this season (.227).
  • The Cincinnati Reds rank T7th in the league for triples this season (12).

Cincinnati Reds vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction

The Milwaukee Brewers are getting the benefit of the doubt because they have been the better team, and they’re at home. However, the Reds have the better pitcher on the mound, as Andrew Abbott has been sharper than Bryse Wilson this season. Wilson has also been rough in two starts this month, allowing 10 runs in his last 10 innings. The Reds’ lineup is more than capable of taking advantage of a struggling Wilson. Give me the plus money with the Reds on the road.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Cincinnati Reds +113

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