Cincinnati Reds vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction 6/9/25 MLB Picks

The Cincinnati Reds and Cleveland Guardians meet Monday in MLB action at Progressive Field. Here’s a Cincinnati Reds vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction. This article will include a Cincinnati Reds vs Cleveland Guardians Pick.

Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview

The Cincinnati Reds are 33-33 on the year and play the Tigers, Twins, and Cardinals next. The Cincinnati Reds are batting .244 on the season, have a .320 OBP, and a .397 slugging percentage. The Cincinnati Reds pitching staff has a 3.71 ERA and a 1.19 WHIP. TJ Friedl leads the Cincinnati Reds with 69 hits and 23 RBI, while Elly De La Cruz and Gavin Lux have combined for 116 hits and 69 RBI. 

Wade Miley gets the ball for the Cincinnati Reds, and he is 0-0 with an 18.00 ERA and 0 strikeouts this season. Miley is 3-4 with a 3.51 ERA and 34 strikeouts in his career against the Cleveland Guardians.

Cleveland Guardians Betting Preview

The Cleveland Guardians are 34-30 on the year and play the Mariners, Giants, and Athletics next. The Cleveland Guardians are batting .234 on the season, have a .306 OBP, and a .377 slugging percentage. The Cleveland Guardians’ pitching staff has a 3.95 ERA and a 1.37 WHIP. Jose Ramirez leads the Cleveland Guardians with 78 hits and 31 RBI, while Steven Kwan and Carlos Santana have combined for 129 hits and 51 RBI.

Luis Ortiz gets the ball for the Cleveland Guardians, and he is 3-6 with a 4.02 ERA and 71 strikeouts this season. Ortiz is 1-1 with a 2.05 ERA and 29 strikeouts in his career against the Cincinnati Reds.

Why the Cleveland Guardians will win

• The home team has won seven of the last eight games between the Reds and Guardians.
• The Reds have lost four of their last five games against teams that held a winning record.
• The favorites have covered the run line in each of the Guardians’ last five games at Progressive Field.
• The Reds have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five games at Progressive Field against teams that held a winning record.
• The Reds have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five games at Progressive Field against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
• The Reds have lost the first inning in four of their last five games at Progressive Field against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
• The Guardians have led after 3 innings in each of their last four night games against the Reds at Progressive Field.

Why the Cincinnati Reds will win

• The underdogs have won each of the Reds’ last four games.
• The Guardians have lost each of their last three games as favorites against NL Central opponents.
• The Reds have covered the run line in eight of their last nine games against American League opponents following a home win.
• The Guardians have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games against NL Central opponents.

Cleveland Guardians Player Prop Facts

• Jose Ramirez has hit a home run in four of the Guardians’ last five games as home favorites against NL opponents.
• Jose Ramirez has recorded two or more hits in each of the Guardians’ last four games against NL opponents.
• Carlos Santana has recorded at least one RBI in eight of his last nine appearances with the Guardians as home favorites against the Reds.
• Jose Ramirez has scored two runs in each of the Guardians’ last six games against NL Central opponents at Progressive Field.
• Nolan Jones has recorded at least one Single in eight of his nine previous appearances against the Reds.
• Carlos Santana has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances with his team as a home favorite against the Reds.
• Jose Ramirez ranks 4th amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.333) this season.

Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts

• Will Benson has hit a home run in each of the Reds’ last two games as underdogs against the Guardians.
• Tyler Stephenson has recorded at least one RBI in five of his last six appearances with the Reds as road underdogs.
• Elly De La Cruz has scored at least one run in seven of the Reds’ last eight road games against opponents that held a winning record.
• TJ Friedl has recorded at least one hit in each of the Reds’ last 12 games as road underdogs against AL Central opponents.
• Jeimer Candelario has recorded a Double in each of his last three appearances with his team as an underdog against AL Central opponents.
• TJ Friedl has recorded at least one Single in each of the Reds’ last nine road games against AL opponents that held a winning record.

Cincinnati Reds vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction

The Reds are coming off a successful season with the Diamondbacks, and it could be a turning point in their season. The problem in this spot is that Miley is on the mound and he has just two innings under his belt. Miley wasn’t good in those innings either, allowing six hits and four runs to the Brewers. Ortiz is the far more trustworthy pitcher with the larger sample size, and he’s allowed just 10 hits and one run in his last 11.2 innings. In 28.1 home innings, Ortiz has a 2.22 ERA and a .196 allowed batting average. Give me the Guardians, and I’ll lay the RL to shave down the juice.