Chicago White Sox vs Seattle Mariners Prediction 8/7/2025 Today’s MLB Picks

The Chicago White Sox and the Seattle Mariners meet Thursday in MLB action from T-Mobile Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Chicago White Sox vs. Seattle Mariners prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Chicago White Sox will trot out Shane Smith here and Smith is 3-7 with a 4.25 ERA and 85 strikeouts this season. This will be Smith’s second career start against the Mariners. The Seattle Mariners will start Logan Gilbert here and Gilbert is 3-4 with a 3.45 ERA and 112 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against the White Sox, Gilbert is 2-0 with a 1.80 ERA and 27 strikeouts.

Chicago White Sox Recap

The Chicago White Sox will be looking to bounce back from an 8-6 loss at the hands of the Mariners in Wednesday’s matchup to sit at 42-72 this season. After this series, the White Sox will head home for a division series against the Cleveland Guardians.

White Sox Lose Three In A Row

Lenyn Sosa has 96 hits including 16 doubles and 44 RBIs. Andrew Benintendi has 68 hits including 13 doubles, 14 home runs, 43 RBIs and a .231 batting average while Miguel Vargas has 90 hits, 25 doubles, 13 home runs and 44 RBIs. Brooks Baldwin has also added 24 RBIs while Luis Robert Jr. has a team-high 29 stolen bases along with 46 RBIs so far this season. Chase Meidroth has added 78 hits with 11 stolen bases as well as 12 doubles this season.

Why the Chicago White Sox will win

• The White Sox have won eight of their last 12 games as road underdogs.
• The Mariners have lost six of their last nine games as favorites following a win.
• The White Sox have covered the run line each of their last seven day games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Mariners have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine day games against American League opponents that held a losing record.

Chicago White Sox Player Prop Facts

• Luis Robert has hit a home run in three of the White Sox’s last four road games against the Mariners.
• Luis Robert has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 appearances with the White Sox as road underdogs against AL West opponents.
• Luis Robert ranks T5th in the league in Steals (30) this season.

Seattle Mariners Recap

The Seattle Mariners come into this game looking to add on to their win over Chicago from Wednesday’s matchup to improve to 62-53 this season. After this series, the Mariners will take on the Tampa Bay Rays in a series at home.

Mariners Pick Up 5^th Win In Last 6 Games

Jorge Polanco has 82 hits including 18 home runs and 53 RBIs while Cal Raleigh has 104 hits with 16 doubles, a team-high 42 home runs and 88 RBIs. Randy Arozarena has 103 hits with 24 doubles, 22 home runs, 55 RBIs and 21 stolen bases. Julio Rodriguez also has 119 hits with 19 doubles, 3 triples, 20 home runs, 59 RBIs and 21 stolen bases. Dylan Moore has 9 homers and 12 stolen bases as well this season. J.P Crawford has 109 hits with 17 doubles, 9 home runs and 44 RBIs.

Why the Seattle Mariners will win

• The Mariners have won each of their last seven day games against AL Central opponents following a win.
• The White Sox have lost each of their last seven games against AL West opponents following a road loss.
• The Mariners have covered the run line in each of their last five games against AL Central opponents.
• The White Sox have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games against the Mariners following a road loss.

Seattle Mariners Player Prop Facts

• Julio Rodriguez has hit a home run in four of the Mariners’ last five games against AL Central opponents.
• Victor Robles has recorded a Double in each of his last three appearances in day games against AL Central teams that held a losing record.
• Victor Robles has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances in day games.
• Cal Raleigh ranks 1st in the league in Home Runs (42) this season.

Total Runs Facts

• Seven of the White Sox’s last eight day games against AL West opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Each of the Mariners’ last five games against AL Central opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.

Chicago White Sox vs. Seattle Mariners Prediction

I’m on the Mariners here. I just think that in this spot, the value has started to wear off with Chicago, who was one of the hottest teams in baseball since the all-star break. That being said, the Mariners have started to wake up offensively as of late and Logan Gilbert has been fantastic at home for the better part of the year. I just think there’s too much going against Chicago to take a shot on the White Sox here so give me the Mariners in this one for the sweep.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Seattle -1.5