Chicago Cubs vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction 4/13/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

The Chicago Cubs and the Philadelphia Phillies meet Monday in MLB action from Citizens Bank Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Chicago Cubs vs. Philadelphia Phillies prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Chicago Cubs will send out Javier Assad for the start here and Assad is 1-0 with a 0.00 ERA and 3 strikeouts this season. In his career, Assad is 1-1 with a 7.71 ERA and 6 strikeouts against the Phillies. Cristopher Sanchez will start this one for the Phillies and is 1-1 with a 1.65 ERA and 23 strikeouts this season. In his career, Sanchez is 0-1 with a 10.38 ERA and 7 strikeouts against the Cubs.

Chicago Cubs Recap

The Chicago Cubs come into this game looking to add on to their 7-6 win over Pittsburgh last time out to sit at 7-8 this season. After this series, the Cubs will head home for a series against the New York Mets.

Cubs Snap Two-Game Slide To Avoid Sweep

Ian Happ has 10 hits with 2 doubles and a team-high 4 home runs and 7 RBIs while Alex Bregman has 13 hits with 2 home runs and 6 RBIs. Nico Hoerner’s added 18 hits with 7 doubles, a home run and 10 RBIs and Moises Ballesteros has 10 hits with a pair of home runs and 6 RBIs. Pete Crow-Armstrong’s also added 12 hits with a home run and 4 RBIs as well on the year. Carson Kelly has also contributed 12 hits with 3 doubles and 4 RBIs.

Philadelphia Phillies Recap

The Philadelphia Phillies come into this game looking to bounce back from a 4-3 loss at the hands of the Arizona Diamondbacks last time out to sit at 7-8 this season. After this series, the Phillies will take on the Atlanta Braves at home.

Phillies Lose 5 Of Last 7

Adolis Garcia has 11 hits with a pair of doubles, 2 home runs and 4 RBIs while Kyle Schwarber has 11 hits with 3 doubles, 4 home runs and 9 RBIs. Brandon Marsh has 14 hits with 3 doubles, 2 home runs and 9 RBIs while Justin Crawford also has 15 hits with 4 doubles, a triple and an RBI. Trea Turner has 16 hits with 4 doubles, a home run and 5 RBIs and Bryce Harper’s added 15 hits with 5 doubles, 3 home runs and 10 RBIs this season. 

The Chicago Cubs @ Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends: April 13, 2026

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Cristopher Sanchez      Record this season: 1-1      ERA: 1.65
• Home Record: 1-0
• Last 5 against Cubs: 0-1

Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win

• The Cubs have lost each of their last seven road games against National League opponents.
• The Phillies have won each of their last nine Monday games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
• The Cubs have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 10 games against NL East opponents following a home win.
• The Phillies have covered the run line each of their last seven Monday games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
• The Cubs have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five road games against National League opponents.
• The Cubs have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last six games as road underdogs against National League opponents.
• The Phillies have won the first inning in three of their last four games as favorites against the Cubs at Citizens Bank Park.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Javier Assad      Record this season: 1-0      ERA: 0.00
• Road Record: 1-0
• Last 5 against Phillies: 1-1

Why the Chicago Cubs will win

• The Cubs have won each of their last eight games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
• The Phillies have lost four of their last five games as favorites.
• The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight home games.
• The Cubs have covered the run line each of their last eight games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
• The Phillies have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four games against opponents that held a losing record.
• The Cubs have led after 5 innings in eight of their last nine night games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
• The Cubs have won the first inning in four of their last five games against National League opponents that held a losing record.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Phillies’ last four games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Five of the Cubs’ last six games against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Cubs’ last six games as underdogs against National League opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in four of the last five games between the Cubs and Phillies at Citizens Bank Park.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

• Bryce Harper has hit a home run in each of his last four Monday appearances against NL Central teams that held a losing record.
• Brandon Marsh has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
• Justin Crawford ranks 9th amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.341) this season.

Chicago Cubs Player Prop Facts

• Seiya Suzuki has hit a home run in each of his last three appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
• Seiya Suzuki has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances against NL East opponents.
• Nico Hoerner ranks T7th in the league in Steals (5) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Phillies rank 1st in the league for walks allowed this season (34).
• The Phillies rank 28th in the league for runs scored this season (53).
• The Cubs rank 2nd in the league for hits allowed this season (101).
• The Cubs rank 4th in the league for opponent batting average this season (.212).

Chicago Cubs vs. Philadelphia Phillies Prediction

I’m on the under in this one. These are still two quality starting options in this matchup and neither offense has been really all that impressive out of hte gate so far this season. This for me just feels like the makings of a 4-3 game that sneaks in under the number, so give me the under in this one.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Under 8