Chicago Cubs vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction MLB Picks 6/30/24

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Milwaukee Brewers (48-33) vs Chicago Cubs (38-44)

June 30, 2024 at 02:10 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Milwaukee Brewers -172 / Chicago Cubs +146 — Over/Under: 8.5

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The Chicago Cubs and the Milwaukee Brewers meet Sunday in MLB action from American Family Field. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Chicago Cubs vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Chicago Cubs will send out Kyle Hendricks for the start here and Hendricks is 1-5 with a 6.87 ERA and 43 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against the Brewers, Hendricks is 0-0 with a 3.33 ERA and 18 strikeouts. Freddy Peralta will get the start for the Brewers here and is 5-4 with a 4.03 ERA and 112 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against the Cubs, Peralta is 0-1 with a 2.89 ERA and 36 strikeouts.

Chicago Cubs Recap

The Chicago Cubs come into this one looking to win the rubber match of the series and win the set after evening the series up at one win apiece thanks to a 5-3 win in Saturday’s matchup. The win gave the Cubs a chance to bounce back from back-to-back series losses after losing to the Giants and Mets over the last week and a half.

Cubs Looking To Climb Back To .500

Going into Saturday’s matchup, Cody Bellinger leads the Cubs with 73 hits including 13 doubles, 9 home runs and 34 RBIs. Nico Hoerner has 68 hits, 14 doubles and a .249 batting average while Christopher Morel has a team-high 15 home runs and 45 RBIs. Michael Busch has 9 homers with 28 RBIs but has 93 strikeouts as well this season. Ian Happ also has a team-high 18 doubles with 10 home runs and 42 RBIs but also has 88 strikeouts this season.

Why the Chicago Cubs will win

  • The underdogs have won three of the Brewers’ last four games.
  • The Cubs have covered the run line in each of their last six Sunday games as underdogs.
  • The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight Sunday games as favorites against National League opponents.

Milwaukee Brewers Recap

The Milwaukee Brewers will try to bounce back and win the series after falling flat in Saturday’s matchup, snapping Milwaukee’s five-game win streak and also put the Brewers at risk of failing to build on their sweep of the Texas Rangers.

Brewers Trying To Strength Hold On NL Central

Entering Saturday’s action, William Contreras leads the Brewers with 93 hits including 19 doubles and 49 RBIs along with 9 home runs and a .351 OBP while Rhys Hoskins has 11 home runs with 36 RBIs and Willy Adames has 18 doubles with 13 home runs and 54 RBIs. Brice Turang leads the Brewers with 27 stolen bases, while Adames has a team-high 75 strikeouts as well this season.

Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win

  • The Cubs have lost each of their last 10 road games following a win.
  • The Brewers have won each of their last 10 day games against National League opponents following a home loss.
  • The Cubs have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 18 games following a win.
  • The Brewers have covered the run line in five of their last six home games against the Cubs following a loss.

Chicago Cubs vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction

I’m on the Cubs here. I get why the Brewers are favored at home with Peralta on the bump, but Peralta’s ERA is far higher at home this season and the Cubs have managed to win both of Peralta’s starts against the Cubs this season. The Brewers have owned the NL Central for much of the year, but I think the value is on the Cubs, as Hendricks has pitched well since regaining a spot in the Cubs’ rotation. Give me Chicago.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Chicago Cubs +146

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