Cardinals vs Cubs Prediction 7/3/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article we will formulate a Cardinals vs Cubs prediction for this MLB game on Friday, July 3rd at Wrigley Field in Chicago, Illinois. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

St. Louis Cardinals Betting Preview

The St. Louis Cardinals are 45-39 this season after they won two out of three against the Braves by scores of 5-3, 1-5, and 11-5. In game three, St. Louis trailed 5-3 for most of the game, but they scored seven runs in the seventh inning to get the comeback win. The Cardinals recorded 15 hits in the game and they were led by Walker, who went 2-4 with one home run and four RBIs. May allowed five hits and five earned runs over 0.2 innings, while Graceffo picked up the win in relief. Prior to that series, St. Louis lost two out of three against the Marlins and two out of three against the Diamondbacks. 

This season, St. Louis has a 4.23 ERA with a 1.34 WHIP and a .254 opponent batting average, while they have scored 379 runs with a .246 batting average and a .323 on base percentage. Jordan Walker has led the Cardinals with 19 home runs and 63 RBIs, while Alec Burleson has added 14 home runs and 58 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for St. Louis is Andre Pallante, who is 9-5 with a 3.83 ERA and a 1.23 WHIP over 89.1 innings pitched this season. 

Chicago Cubs Betting Preview

The Chicago Cubs are 49-38 this year after they swept the Padres in three games by scores of 3-2, 9-7, and 23-3. In game three, Chicago scored nine runs in the first three innings and never looked back in the blowout win. The Cubs recorded 17 hits in the game and they were led by Swanson, who went 3-5 with three home runs and eight RBIs. Rea allowed six hits and two earned runs over 5.0 innings for the win, while Wicks picked up the save. Prior to that series, Chicago won two out of three against the Brewers and all four against the Mets. 

This season, Chicago has a 4.23 ERA with a 1.26 WHIP and a .242 opponent batting average, while they have scored 448 runs with a .245 batting average and a .340 on base percentage. Dansby Swanson has led the Cubs with 16 home runs and 57 RBIs, while Ian Happ has added 17 home runs and 41 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Chicago is David Peterson, who is 4-6 with a 5.86 ERA and a 1.59 WHIP over 73.2 innings pitched this year. 

Why the Chicago Cubs will win

• The Cubs have won 10 of their last 11 games against National League opponents.
• The Cardinals have lost nine of their last 10 games at Wrigley Field against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
• The Cardinals have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 10 games at Wrigley Field against teams that held a winning record.
• The Cubs have covered the run line in each of their last four games as home favorites against the Cardinals.
• The Cubs have led after 5 innings in each of their last four games against the Cardinals at Wrigley Field.
• The Cardinals have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five games.

Why the St. Louis Cardinals will win

• The Cardinals have won five of their last six games as underdogs against NL Central opponents following a road win.
• The Cubs have lost seven of their last 10 games as favorites against the Cardinals following a home win.
• The Cubs have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 10 games as home favorites against NL Central opponents.
• The Cardinals have covered the run line in six of their last seven road games against National League opponents.
• The Cardinals have led after 5 innings in three of their last four games against NL Central opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Five of the Cardinals’ last six games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Five of the Cubs’ last six home games have gone OVER the total runs line.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in six of David Peterson’s last seven home appearances as a starter.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in five of the Cardinals’ last six road games.

Chicago Cubs Player Prop Facts

• Seiya Suzuki has hit a home run in each of the Cubs’ last four games against the Cardinals at Wrigley Field.
• Alex Bregman has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 18 Friday appearances against teams that held a winning record.

St. Louis Cardinals Player Prop Facts

• Jordan Walker has recorded two or more hits in each of the Cardinals’ last three games against NL Central opponents.
• Alec Burleson has hit a home run in four of the Cardinals’ last six road games against NL opponents.
• Andre Pallante has recorded a win in each of his last five appearances with the Cardinals as road underdogs.

Cardinals vs Cubs Prediction

Chicago comes into this matchup on a five game winning streak and they have scored 8+ runs in three of those wins. The Cubs are 26-17 at home this year, while the Cardinals are 22-18 on the road. St. Louis has won three of their last four games, but they have allowed five runs in three of their last five. The Cardinals are starting Pallante, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts, while Peterson has allowed 3+ earned runs in three of his last four outings. I don’t trust Peterson, so take the Cardinals here.

David Racey's Pick: Cardinals ML