Jun 30, 2026; Atlanta, Georgia, USA; Atlanta Braves first baseman Matt Olson (28) hits a double against the St. Louis Cardinals in the ninth inning at Truist Park. Mandatory Credit: Brett Davis-Imagn Images
Brett Davis-Imagn Images

Cardinals vs Braves Prediction 7/1/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

Pick details

MATCHUP St. Louis Cardinals Atlanta Braves
Team Records 44-38 49-34
Spread +1.5 -175 -1.5 144
Moneyline +114 -137
Total Over 9 (-102) Under 9 (-118)
Where Truist Park, Atlanta, Georgia
When Wednesday, July 1, 2026
Time 07:15 PM EDT
TV MLB.TV

In this article we will formulate a Cardinals vs Braves prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, July 1st at Truist Park in Atlanta, Georgia. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

St. Louis Cardinals Betting Preview

The St. Louis Cardinals are 44-38 this season after they won game one by a score of 5-3 on Tuesday night. St. Louis trailed 1-0 in the third inning, but they scored five runs in a row to get the win. The Cardinals recorded six hits in the game and they were led by Church, who went 1-4 with one home run and three RBIs. Liberatore allowed one hit and one earned run over 5.0 innings for the win, while O’Brien picked up the save. Prior to this series, St. Louis lost two out of three against the Marlins and two out of three against the Diamondbacks. 

This season, St. Louis has a 4.24 ERA with a 1.35 WHIP and a .255 opponent batting average, while they have scored 367 runs with a .246 batting average and a .323 on base percentage. Jordan Walker has led the Cardinals with 18 home runs and 58 RBIs, while Alec Burleson has added 13 home runs and 57 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for St. Louis is Michael McGreevy, who is 3-6 with a 3.12 ERA and a 1.14 WHIP over 89.1 innings pitched this season. 

Atlanta Braves Betting Preview

The Atlanta Braves are 49-34 this year after they lost game one by a score of 3-5 last night. Atlanta cut the deficit to 5-3 in the eighth inning, but couldn’t get any closer in the loss. The Braves recorded six hits in the game and they were led by Albies, who went 1-4 with two RBIs. Perez allowed five hits and four earned runs over 5.0 innings for the loss, while Karinchak allowed one earned run in relief. Prior to this series, Atlanta lost two out of three against the Giants and all three against the Padres. 

This season, Atlanta has a 3.43 ERA with a 1.21 WHIP and a .226 opponent batting average, while they have scored 393 runs with a .247 batting average and a .311 on base percentage. Matt Olson has led the Braves with 20 home runs and 52 RBIs, while Drake Baldwin has added 14 home runs and 39 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Atlanta is Reynaldo Lopez, who is 3-1 with a 3.47 ERA and a 1.37 WHIP over 46.2 innings pitched this year. 

Why the Atlanta Braves will win

  • The Braves have won 10 of their last 12 home games following a home loss.
  • The Cardinals have lost five of their last six road games following a road win.
  • The Cardinals have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games against National League opponents after playing the previous day.
  • The Braves have covered the run line in four of their last five night games against NL Central opponents.

Why the St. Louis Cardinals will win

  • The Braves have lost eight of their last 10 games as favorites.
  • The underdogs have won four of the Cardinals’ last six games.
  • The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the Braves’ last seven games at Truist Park.
  • The Braves have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games as home favorites against National League opponents.
  • The Cardinals have led after 5 innings in four of their last five games as road underdogs against National League opponents.

Total Runs Facts

  • Seven of the Cardinals’ last eight night games against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • Each of the Braves’ last five games against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of Reynaldo Lopez’s last five appearances as a starter.
  • There has been no run scored during the first inning in six of the Cardinals’ last seven games.

Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts

  • Mauricio Dubon has hit a home run in each of the Braves’ last three Wednesday night games at Truist Park.
  • Mauricio Dubon has recorded at least one hit in 21 of his last 22 appearances in night games.

St. Louis Cardinals Player Prop Facts

  • Alec Burleson has hit a home run in three of the Cardinals’ last four road games against NL opponents.
  • Michael McGreevy has recorded four or more strikeouts in each of his last three appearances against NL opponents.
  • Masyn Winn has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances at Truist Park.

Cardinals vs Braves Prediction

Atlanta comes into this matchup on a three game losing streak and they have scored three runs or fewer in five straight games. The Braves are 24-15 at home this year, while the Cardinals are 21-17 on the road. St. Louis has won two in a row, but they have scored two runs or fewer in three of their last four. The Cardinals are starting McGreevy, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts, while Lopez has allowed one earned run in his last 10.1 innings, but won’t go too deep into the game. Take the under here, as both offenses are struggling right now.

David Racey's Pick: Under 9

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