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Brewers vs Dodgers Prediction 10/16/2025 Today’s MLB Picks
Pick details
Milwaukee (97-65) vs Los Angeles (93-69)
October 16, 2025 at 06:08 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Los Angeles -190 — Over/Under: +7.5
In this article we will formulate a Brewers vs Dodgers prediction for this MLB game on Thursday, October 16th at Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles, California. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NLCS matchup.
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview
The Milwaukee Brewers are down 2-0 in this series after they lost game one by a score of 2-1 and game two by a score of 5-1. In that game two loss, Milwaukee led 1-0 in the first inning, but failed to score over the last eight innings for the tough loss. The Brewers recorded three hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Chourio, who went 1-4 with one home run and one RBI in the loss. Milwaukee started Peralta, who allowed five hits and three earned runs over 5.2 innings for the loss, while Uribe and Myers allowed one earned run each.
Prior to this series, Milwaukee defeated the Cubs in the NLDS in five games, but did have a bye in the Wild Card round. The Brewers have lost four of their last five games and they finished first in the NL Central standings. The Milwaukee pitching staff has a 3.39 ERA with a 1.31 WHIP and a .221 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 24 runs with a .206 batting average and a .280 on base percentage in the postseason. Jackson Chourio has led Milwaukee with two home runs and eight RBIs, while William Contreras has added two home runs and three RBIs in the playoffs. The projected starting pitcher for Milwaukee is TBD.
Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Preview
The Los Angeles Dodgers are up 2-0 in this series after they won game two by a score of 5-1. Los Angeles scored twice in the second inning to take the lead and pulled away in the later innings for the victory. The Dodgers recorded 11 hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Ohtani, Muncy, Hernandez, Edman, and Pages, who all had one RBI in the win. Los Angeles started Yamamoto, who allowed three hits and one earned run over 9.0 innings for the complete game shutout.
Prior to this series, Los Angeles defeated Philadelphia in the NLDS in four games and the Reds in the Wild Card round in two games. The Dodgers have won 12 of their last 13 games and they finished first in the NL West standings. The Los Angeles pitching staff has a 2.80 ERA with a 1.05 WHIP and a .179 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 38 runs with a .262 batting average and a .352 on base percentage this postseason. Teoscar Hernandez has led LA with four home runs and 10 RBIs, while Shohei Ohtani has added two home runs and six RBIs so far in the playoffs. The projected starting pitcher for Los Angeles is Tyler Glasnow, who is 0-0 with a 0.00 ERA and a 1.17 WHIP over 7.2 innings pitched this postseason.
Why the Los Angeles Dodgers will win
The Brewers have lost each of their last seven playoff games against NL West opponents.
The Dodgers have won each of their last seven home playoff games against NL Central opponents.
The Dodgers have covered the run line in each of their last six playoff games as home favorites against NL Central opponents.
The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight day games against NL West opponents following a home loss.
The Dodgers have led after 3 innings in three of their last four day games against opponents that held a winning record.
The Brewers have trailed after 5 innings in nine of their last 11 road games.
Total Runs Facts
Each of the Brewers’ last four playoff games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
Each of the Dodgers’ last four day games as favorites have gone UNDER the total runs line.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Dodgers’ last five day games.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Brewers’ last four games at Dodger Stadium.
Los Angeles Dodgers Player Prop Facts
Tommy Edman has hit a home run in three of his last four playoff appearances at Dodger Stadium.
Tommy Edman has recorded a hit in each of his last eight playoff appearances at Dodger Stadium.
Freddie Freeman has recorded a Double in four of his last five playoff appearances against NL Central opponents.
Shohei Ohtani ranks 3rd in the league in Home Runs (55) this season.
Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts
Jackson Chourio has recorded a Double in each of the Brewers’ last three day games against opponents that held a winning record.
Sal Frelick has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances with the Brewers as road underdogs against NL opponents.
Danny Jansen has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances in day games.
Matchup/League Facts
The Dodgers rank 2nd in the league for home runs this season (244).
The Dodgers rank 2nd in the league for RBIs this season (791).
The Brewers rank 2nd in the league for ERA this season (3.58).
The Brewers rank 3rd in the league for runs scored this season (806).
Brewers vs Dodgers Prediction
Los Angeles went on the road and won both games to start this series, so they have a chance to take a commanding 3-0 series lead with a win here. The Dodgers have been elite at home this year and they are starting Glasnow, who has allowed zero earned runs in his last 10.2 innings of work. Milwaukee has not announced their pitching plans for this game, but they need to be much better than game two. The Brewers have had zero offense in this series and I just can’t back them in this spot. Take the Dodgers -1.5 here.