Brewers vs Cubs Prediction 10/9/2025 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article we will formulate a Brewers vs Cubs prediction for this MLB game on Thursday, October 9th at Wrigley Field in Chicago, Illinois. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB Divisional Series matchup. 

Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview

The Milwaukee Brewers are up 2-1 in this series after they lost game three by a score of 4-3 on Wednesday. Milwaukee led 1-0 in the first inning, but they allowed four runs in the bottom of the first and couldn’t recover for the loss. The Brewers recorded seven hits in the game and they were led by Bauers, who went 2-4 with one home run and two RBIs in the game. Milwaukee started Priester, who allowed three hits and four earned runs over 0.2 innings for the loss, while Quintana was the bulk pitcher. 

Prior to this series, the Brewers had a bye in the Wild Card round, but finished the regular season by losing two out of three against the Reds and Padres. Milwaukee has lost six of their last ten games and they finished first in the NL Central standings. The Milwaukee pitching staff had a 3.58 ERA with a 1.23 WHIP and a .230 opponent batting average, while the offense scored 806 runs with a .258 batting average and a .332 on base percentage in the regular season. Christian Yelich led Milwaukee with 29 home runs and 103 RBIs, while William Contreras added 17 home runs and 76 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Milwaukee is TBD. 

Chicago Cubs Betting Preview

The Chicago Cubs are down 2-1 in this series, but they did win game three by a score of 4-3 on Wednesday. Chicago scored all four of their runs in the first inning and nearly blew the lead, but they picked up a huge win. The Cubs recorded eight hits in the game and they were led by Crow-Armstrong, who went 1-4 with two RBIs in the win. Chicago started Taillon, who allowed five hits and two earned runs over 4.0 innings, while Pomeranz got the win and Keller picked up the save. 

Prior to this series, the Cubs won two out of three against the Padres in the Wild Card round and swept the Cardinals to finish the regular season. Chicago has won six of their last nine games and they finished second in the NL Central standings. The Chicago pitching staff has a 3.46 ERA with a 1.23 WHIP and a .247 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 16 runs with a .223 batting average and a .284 on base percentage this postseason. Seiya Suzuki has led Chicago with two home runs and four RBIs, while Michael Bush has added three home runs and three RBIs in the playoffs. The projected starting pitcher for Chicago is TBD. 

Why the Chicago Cubs will win

The Brewers have lost seven of their last eight games as road favorites.
The Cubs have won eight of their last nine games as home underdogs against NL Central opponents following a win.
The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight games as road favorites.
The underdogs have covered the run line in 16 of the last 18 games between the Brewers and Cubs at Wrigley Field.
The Brewers have trailed after 3 innings in six of their last eight playoff games against NL Central opponents.
The Brewers have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last four road games against NL Central opponents.

Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win

The favorites have won each of the Cubs’ last nine games at Wrigley Field.
The Cubs have lost each of their last seven games as underdogs.
The Cubs have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight Thursday night home games.
The favorites have covered the run line in 10 of the Cubs’ last 11 games.
The Brewers have led after 3 innings in three of their last four night games against NL Central opponents.
The Brewers have led after 5 innings in each of their last three games as favorites against NL Central opponents.

Total Runs Facts

Each of the Cubs’ last four night games against National League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
Five of the Brewers’ last six playoff games have gone OVER the total runs line.
The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Cubs’ last four games as underdogs.
The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Brewers’ last three games.

Chicago Cubs Player Prop Facts

Seiya Suzuki has hit at least one home run in each of the Cubs’ last two night games.
Seiya Suzuki has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 appearances at Wrigley Field.
Seiya Suzuki has recorded a Double in each of the Cubs’ last three home playoff games.
Kyle Tucker ranks 7th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.377) this season.

Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts

Jackson Chourio has hit a home run in each of the Brewers’ last two night games against opponents that held a winning record.
Christian Yelich has recorded a hit in each of his last eight playoff appearances.
Jackson Chourio has recorded a Double in each of his last three appearances at Wrigley Field.

Matchup/League Facts

The Cubs rank T3rd in the league for steals this season (161).
The Cubs rank T4th in the league for triples this season (29).
The Brewers rank 2nd in the league for ERA this season (3.58).
The Brewers rank 3rd in the league for runs scored this season (806).

Brewers vs Cubs Prediction 

Chicago was able to get out of multiple jams on Wednesday to preserve their lead and get the win, but they still face elimination here. The Brewers were one of the top teams in the MLB during the regular season and they are very good on the road. Neither team has announced their starting pitcher for this game, but I am going to assume Peralta will be on the mound for Milwaukee. I do think the Brewers will get the win in this contest, but I will come back and update this article if I change my mind once I see the pitching matchup. Back the Brew Crew for now.