Braves vs Phillies Prediction 8/30/2025 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article we will formulate a Braves vs Phillies prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, August 30th at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Atlanta Braves Betting Preview

The Atlanta Braves are 61-74 this year after they lost the first two games in this series by scores of 4-19 and 1-2. In their game two loss, Atlanta led 1-0 in the second inning, but failed to score in the last seven innings in the defeat. The Braves recorded 12 hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Profar, who went 1-5 with one RBI in the loss. Atlanta started Elder, who allowed three hits and one earned run over 7.0 innings, while Lee picked up the loss in relief. 

Prior to this series, the Braves won two out of three against the Marlins, but did lose two out of three against the Mets before that. Atlanta has lost three of their last five games and they are currently fourth in the NL East standings. The Atlanta pitching staff has a 4.43 ERA with a 1.31 WHIP and a .247 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 599 runs with a .244 batting average and a .321 on base percentage this year. Matt Olson has led Atlanta with 21 home runs and 75 RBIs, while Marcell Ozuna has added 20 home runs and 62 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Atlanta is Chris Sale, who is 5-4 with a 2.52 ERA and a 1.16 WHIP over 89.1 innings pitched this year. 

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies are 78-57 this season after they won game two by a score of 2-1 on Friday night. Philadelphia tied the game at one in the fourth and scored the winning run in the eighth for the victory. The Phillies recorded six hits in the game and they were led by Bohm and Marsh, who both had one RBI in the win. Philadelphia started Suarez, who allowed 10 hits and one earned run over 5.0 innings, while Kerkering picked up the win and Duran got the save. 

Prior to this series, the Phillies lost all three against the Mets, but did win two out of three against the Nationals before that. Philadelphia has lost three of their last five games, but they are still first in the NL East standings. The Philadelphia pitching staff has a 3.84 ERA with a 1.24 WHIP and a .246 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 646 runs with a .258 batting average and a .328 on base percentage this season. Kyle Schwarber has led Philadelphia with 49 home runs and 119 RBIs, while Nick Castellanos has added 16 home runs and 61 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Philadelphia is Cristopher Sanchez, who is 11-5 with a 2.66 ERA and a 1.13 WHIP over 162.1 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Phillies will beat the Braves 

The home team has won each of the Phillies’ last seven games.
The Braves have lost each of their last four night games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
The Phillies have covered the run line in eight of their last nine Saturday night games at Citizens Bank Park.
The Braves have failed to cover the run line in three of their last four night games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
The Braves have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five games against National League opponents that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

Three of the Braves’ last four games against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
Three of the Phillies’ last four home games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in eight of the Braves’ last nine games at Citizens Bank Park.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in nine of the Phillies’ last 12 home games against National League opponents.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

J.T. Realmuto has hit a home run in four of his last six appearances at Citizens Bank Park.
Bryce Harper has recorded at least one hit in each of the Phillies’ last 11 night games.

Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts

Chris Sale has recorded eight or more strikeouts in each of his last four road appearances against NL opponents.
Matt Olson has hit a home run in two of the Braves’ last three games against NL East opponents.
Chris Sale has recorded a win in four of his last five road appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
Michael Harris has recorded at least one hit in each of the Braves’ last nine games at Citizens Bank Park against NL opponents that held a winning record.

Braves vs Phillies Prediction 

Philadelphia won game one of this series in blowout fashion and they won game two in a low scoring battle, so they will look for three in a row here. The Phillies are 44-22 at home this year, while the Braves are 28-41 on the road. Atlanta is trying to gain ground on Miami for third in the NL East and they are starting Sale, who is coming off of the IL and hasn’t pitched in the majors since June. Philadelphia is going with Sanchez, who has allowed three earned runs or fewer in four of his last five outings. I don’t trust Sale coming off of the IL, so I will back the Phillies at home.