Braves vs Mets Prediction 8/13/2025 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article we will formulate a Braves vs Mets prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, August 13th at Citi Field in New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Atlanta Braves Betting Preview

The Atlanta Braves are 51-68 this season after they lost game one by a score of 13-5 on Tuesday night. Atlanta led 1-0 in the first inning and they tied the game at five in the fourth, but they were shutout over the last five innings in the loss. The Braves recorded eight hits in the game and they were led by Alvarez Jr., who went 2-3 with two RBIs in the loss. Atlanta started Strider, who allowed eight hits and eight earned runs over 4.0 innings for the loss, while Cox allowed five earned runs in relief. 

Prior to this series, the Braves won four out of five against the Marlins, but lost all three against the Brewers before that. Atlanta has won four of their last six games and they are currently fourth in the NL East standings. The Atlanta pitching staff has a 4.29 ERA with a 1.29 WHIP and a .242 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 504 runs with a .242 batting average and a .319 on base percentage this year. Matt Olson has led Atlanta with 19 home runs and 71 RBIs, while Sean Murphy has added 16 home runs and 43 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Atlanta is Carlos Carrasco, who is 2-2 with a 6.18 ERA and a 1.58 WHIP over 43.2 innings pitched this season. The Braves currently sit in 4th place in the standings in the National League East.

New York Mets Betting Preview

The New York Mets are 64-55 this year after they won game one in blowout fashion on Tuesday night. New York blew a 5-1 lead in the fourth inning, but they scored the last eight runs to pull away in the victory. The Mets recorded 16 hits in the game and they were led by Alvarez, who went 3-4 with two home runs and four RBIs in the win. New York started Holmes, who allowed six hits and five earned runs over 3.2 innings, while Soto picked up the win and Hagenman got the four inning save. 

Prior to this series, the Mets lost all three against the Brewers and all three against the Guardians. New York has lost seven of their last eight games and they are currently second in the NL East standings. The New York pitching staff has a 3.71 ERA with a 1.31 WHIP and a .240 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 526 runs with a .241 batting average and a .319 on base percentage this season. Pete Alonso has led New York with 28 home runs and 96 RBIs, while Juan Soto has added 28 home runs and 67 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for New York is David Peterson, who is 7-5 with a 2.98 ERA and a 1.23 WHIP over 133.0 innings pitched this year. 

Why the Mets will beat the Braves

• The Mets have won each of their last seven home games against NL East opponents following a win.
• The Braves have lost each of their last four night games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Braves have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight night games against teams that held a winning record.
• The home team has covered the run line in each of the Braves’ last four games.
• The Mets have led after 5 innings in nine of their last 10 games as favorites against NL East opponents.
• The Mets have led after 3 innings in four of their last five games as home favorites against NL East opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Five of the Braves’ last six night games against National League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Each of the Mets’ last three games have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 11 of the Braves’ last 12 games at Citi Field.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in eight of the last nine night games between the Braves and Mets at Citi Field.

Braves vs Mets Prediction 

New York was able to get a very high scoring win on Tuesday night to start this series, as they were able to snap their long losing streak. The Mets are 39-21 at home this year, while the Braves are 21-38 on the road. Atlanta’s offense has showed some improvement, as they have scored at least five runs in four straight games. The Braves are starting Carrasco, who has allowed nine earned runs and 16 hits in his last two starts. The Mets are going with Peterson, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last four outings. I don’t trust Carrasco on the mound, so I will take the Mets -1.5 here.