Boston Red Sox vs Texas Rangers Prediction 3/30/25 MLB Picks

The Boston Red Sox and the Texas Rangers meet Sunday in MLB action from Globe Life Field. This will be the final installment in a four-game weekend series. Here’s a Rangers vs Red Sox prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Rangers vs Red Sox pick. We will examine: 

The Boston Red Sox recent form and player performance

The Texas Rangers recent form and player performance 

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Boston Red Sox

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Texas Rangers

Recent betting trends in games played between Rangers and Red Sox

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Rangers vs Red Sox game

Boston Red Sox Betting Preview

The Sox got off to a nice start in the opener of this set on Thursday, hitting a 5-2 victory thanks to three ninth-inning runs. Boston’s Wilyer Abreu bagged three hits, three runs, four RBI and two homers in that one, carrying the team. 

Friday’s game two didn’t go so well for the Sox though, as they fell 4-1. Starting pitcher Tanner Houck had 5.2 innings with seven hits, three walks and four earned runs in the defeat. 

In the Saturday game three, the Red Sox gave up two runs in the first inning and ended up falling 4-3 in the end. Kristian Campbell provided a solo homer and a pair of hits. Boston will travel to take on the Baltimore Orioles in their next set. 

In the starter slot for Sunday’s finale, the Red Sox will trot out Richard Fitts. In his regular-season career Fitts is 0-1 with a 1.74 ERA in limited action (four starts). He’s got nine strikeouts total over 20.2 innings in that time. 

Texas Rangers Betting Preview

Over on the Texas side, they had a brief 2-1 lead in the Thursday opener but couldn’t close the game out. The Rangers’ Josh Jung and Kevin Pillar (run; RBI) each had two of the team’s seven total hits. 

On Friday Texas bagged two runs in the sixth inning on the way to eight hits in a three-run win. The Rangers got two solo home runs from catcher Jonah Helm in the win. Jack Leiter posted 5.0 innings in the start with one earned on five hits and a walk. 

On Saturday the Rangers posted eight hits on the night, with three of those coming from Adolis Garcia (three RBI; homer). Starting pitcher Tyler Mahle put up 1.2 innings with one earned on two hits and four walks in the win. Texas will play the Cincinnati Reds in their next series. 

Jacob deGrom will make the start for Texas on Sunday. In 2024 deGrom had just three starts, posting a 1.69 ERA without a decision. In his career deGrom is 84-57 with a 2.52 ERA in 218 total starts. 

Why the Texas Rangers will win

• The Rangers have won each of their last five games after playing the previous day.
• The Red Sox have lost four of their last five games after playing the previous day.
• The Rangers have covered the run line in five of their last six games at Globe Life Field against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
• The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five day games against the Rangers following a road loss.
• The Rangers have led after 3 innings in three of their last four day games against the Red Sox.
• The Rangers have led after 5 innings in seven of their last eight Sunday day games against opponents that held a losing record.

Why the Boston Red Sox will win

• The Red Sox have won seven of their last eight Sunday day games as road underdogs against AL West opponents.
• The Rangers have lost each of their last four day games against AL East opponents following a win.
• The Red Sox have covered the run line in 10 of their last 11 games as road underdogs against American League opponents following a road loss.
• The Rangers have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five home games against the Red Sox following a win.
• The Red Sox have led after 3 innings in 10 of their last 13 games against AL West opponents that held a winning record.
• The Rangers have trailed after 5 innings in six of their last eight day games against AL East opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Seven of the Red Sox’s last eight road games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Each of the Rangers’ last five home games against AL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 11 of the Red Sox’s last 12 road games.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Rangers’ last five day games against American League opponents.

Rangers vs Red Sox Prediction 

I’m going with the Rangers. It’s really going to depend on how deGrom looks, but if all goes well Texas should be in good shape on the scoreboard while he’s out there. This spring deGrom went 1-2 with a 4.50 ERA in three starts, so he’s got a bit of improving to do. As for Fitts, he did pretty well in Spring Training with a 2-0 record and a 2.37 ERA in seven games (four starts). 

On Saturday the Rangers got off to a good start and did just enough offensively to power out the one-run win. Texas used a lot of bullpen arms in their victory, but overall the staff didn’t do too badly after Mahle’s early exit. Over 7.1 innings that group gave up just two earned runs and struck out eight batters. I like the Rangers to keep it going in the finale, provided they can get a similar effort from their bullpen arms.