Pick details
| MATCHUP | Boston Red Sox | St. Louis Cardinals |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 4-8 | 7-5 |
| Spread | -1.5 119 | +1.5 -143 |
| Moneyline | -149 | +123 |
| Total | Over 7.5 (-105) | Under 7.5 (-115) |
| Where | Busch Stadium, St. Louis, Missouri | |
| When | Friday, April 10, 2026 | |
| Time | 08:15 PM EDT | |
| TV | MLB.TV | |
Boston Red Sox Betting Preview
The Boston Red Sox are 4-8 on the year and play the Tigers and Twins next. The Boston Red Sox are batting. 226 on the season, have a .310 OBP, and have a .356 slugging percentage. The Boston Red Sox pitching staff has a 4.19 ERA and a 1.35 WHIP. Wilyer Abreu leads the Boston Red Sox with 18 hits and 9 RBI, while Ceddanne Rafaela and Willson Contreras have combined for 21 hits and 9 RBI.
Connelly Early gets the ball for the Boston Red Sox, and he is 0-0 with a 2.89 ERA and 10 strikeouts this season. This will be Early’s first career game against the St. Louis Cardinals.
St. Louis Cardinals Betting Preview
The St. Louis Cardinals are 7-5 on the year and play the Guardians and Astros next. The St. Louis Cardinals are batting .226 on the season and have a .324 OBP, and a .361 slugging percentage. The St. Louis Cardinals pitching staff has a 4.95 ERA and a 1.52 WHIP. Jordan Walker leads the St. Louis Cardinals with 13 hits and 12 RBI while Alec Burleson and JJ Wetherholt have combined for 23 hits and 15 RBI.
Dustin May gets the ball for the St. Louis Cardinals, and he is 0-2 with a 15.95 ERA and 7 strikeouts this season. This will be May’s second career game against the Boston Red Sox.
Why the St. Louis Cardinals will win
- The Red Sox have lost five of their last six games as favorites following a home win.
- The Cardinals have won five of their last six games as underdogs against AL East opponents following a road win.
- The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six night games against National League opponents.
- The underdogs have covered the run line in 15 of the Cardinals’ last 18 games at Busch Stadium.
- The Cardinals have led after 3 innings in three of their last four home games against American League opponents.
Why the Boston Red Sox will win
- The Red Sox have won each of their last seven games as road favorites against National League opponents following a home win.
- The Cardinals have lost five of their last six night games at Busch Stadium following a win.
- The Red Sox have covered the run line in four of their last five road games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
- The Cardinals have failed to cover the run line each of their last three games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
- The Cardinals have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four games as underdogs against American League opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Seven of the Cardinals’ last eight games against AL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Five of the Red Sox’s last six games as favorites against NL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in nine of the Cardinals’ last 10 night games against AL East opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in eight of the Red Sox’s last nine games as favorites against National League opponents.
St. Louis Cardinals Player Prop Facts
- Ramon Urias has recorded at least one hit in 17 of his last 18 appearances with his team as an underdog against the Red Sox.
- Nolan Gorman has hit a home run in two of his last three appearances against the Red Sox.
- Jordan Walker ranks 5th amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.682) this season.
Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts
- Wilyer Abreu has hit a home run in three of the Red Sox’s last four games as road favorites.
- Trevor Story has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances with his team as a favorite against the Cardinals.
- Wilyer Abreu ranks T3rd in the league in Hits (18) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Cardinals rank T27th in the league for hits allowed this season (113).
- The Cardinals rank T5th in the league for strikeouts against this season (99).
- The Red Sox rank T6th in the league for triples this season (2).
- The Red Sox rank T24th in the league for hits this season (89).
Boston Red Sox vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction
The Red Sox are coming off a couple of wins and maybe that has a carryover effect. The Red Sox have life for the first time this season. Early has been solid through 9.1 innings. We can’t say the same for May through 7.1 innings, as he’s allowed 17 hits and 13 runs. Maybe May finds his footing, as he is a World Series champion and was a key piece in the Dodgers’ rotation. I just need to see it. I can’t get behind May and his struggles right now. The price is reasonable. Give me the Red Sox on Friday night.
Randy Chambers's Pick: Boston Red Sox
