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Boston Red Sox vs New York Yankees Prediction 6/8/25 MLB Picks

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New York Yankees (39-24) vs Boston Red Sox (31-35)

June 8, 2025 at 07:00 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: New York Yankees -220 / Boston Red Sox +178 — Over/Under: 8

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In this article, we will formulate a Red Sox vs Yankees prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, June 8, at Yankee Stadium in Bronx, New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Boston Red Sox Betting Preview

The Boston Red Sox (31-35, 14-19 Away) beat the Atlanta Braves, lost to the Los Angeles Angels, and now are tied with the Yankees in the current series in the Bronx. Following a 9-6 loss, the Red Sox responded with a 10-7 victory in Game 2. Trevor Story was excellent as he led his offense with five RBI, while Garrett Crochet got the win after allowing five runs on six hits with nine strikeouts and one walk across 6.0 innings of work. 

This season, the Red Sox average 4.83 runs per game (6th in the MLB) on a .254/.327/.418 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Red Sox’s staff has a 4.10 ERA (22nd) and 1.34 WHIP (21st). Rafael Devers leads the Red Sox with a .283 batting average, 13 home runs, and 56 RBI this season.

Hunter Dobbins will take the mound for the Red Sox on Sunday. The 25-year-old right-hander has a 2-1 record in seven starts this year with a 4.06 ERA and 1.33 WHIP in 44.1 innings.

New York Yankees Betting Preview

The New York Yankees (39-24, 21-11 Home) bounced back from a series loss to the Dodgers with a win over the Cleveland Guardians. They opened the series against Boston with a 9-6 win, but lost the following duel, 10-7. In that defeat, Austin Wells led the offense with four RBI, while Ryan Yarbrough took the loss after allowing eight runs on nine hits with three strikeouts and two walks in 4.0 innings. 

This year, the Yankees average 5.43 runs per game (3rd in the MLB) on a .259/.343/.464 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Yankees’ staff has a 3.64 ERA (11th) and 1.19 WHIP (6th). Aaron Judge leads the Yankees with a .390 batting average, 21 home runs, and 51 RBI this season.

The projected starting pitcher for the Yankees is Carlos Rodon, who is 8-3 in 13 starts this season, with a 2.49 ERA and 0.93 WHIP in 79.2 innings.

Why the Yankees will cover

  • The Red Sox have lost seven of their last eight night games following a win.
  • The Yankees have won seven of their last eight games against American League opponents following a loss.
  • The Yankees have covered the run line in eight of their last nine night games following a loss.
  • The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four night games following a win.
  • The Yankees have led after 3 innings in three of their last four games against the Red Sox at Yankee Stadium.
  • The Red Sox have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five games.

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the Red Sox’s last five games as underdogs against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • Eleven of the Yankees’ last 13 games against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 12 of the Yankees’ last 15 games at Yankee Stadium.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in four of the Red Sox’s last five games at Yankee Stadium.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Yankees rank 1st in the league for on-base percentage this season (.343).
  • The Yankees rank 1st in the league for walks this season (256).
  • The Red Sox rank 29th in the league for strikeouts against this season (608).
  • The Red Sox are one of only three teams in the league to rank top 10 in both steals and batting average this season.

Red Sox vs Yankees Prediction

The Yankees won six of the previous ten H2H encounters, and generally had more success against Boston lately. I am backing the hosts to clinch this series with a win on Sunday because they will start Carlos Rodon, who has been on a tear recently. Rodon allowed just two runs in his last four starts, two of which were shutouts, while he recorded wins in all four! Rodon is in excellent form, and I am sure he will have another quality start here. Hunter Dobbins, on the other hand, wasn’t bad in the last few starts, but the advantage is clearly on Rodon’s side. I am backing the Yanks to win and cover the run line. 

Oliver Zivic's Pick: Yankees -1.5

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