Boston Red Sox vs New York Yankees Prediction 8/24/2025 Today’s MLB Picks

The Boston Red Sox and the New York Yankees meet Sunday in MLB action from Yankee Stadium. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Boston Red Sox will start Dustin May here and May is 7-9 with a 4.59 ERA and 114 strikeouts this season. This will be May’s first career start against the Yankees. Carlos Rodon will get the nod for the Yankees in this one and is 13-7 with a 3.24 ERA and 169 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against the Red Sox, Rodon is 2-3 with a 5.74 ERA and 28 strikeouts.

Boston Red Sox Recap

The Boston Red Sox come into this game looking to add on to their 12-1 win over the Yankees from Saturday’s matchup to sit at 71-59 on the year. After this series, the Red Sox will head on the road for another division series against the Baltimore Orioles.

Red Sox Looking For Huge Division Sweep

Alex Bregman has 96 hits including 24 doubles along with 16 home runs and 53 RBIs this season. Trevor Story’s added 127 hits with 20 home runs, 82 RBIs and 22 stolen bases while Jarren Duran has 131 hits with 34 doubles, 12 triples, 12 home runs, 70 RBIs and a team-high 21 stolen bases. Kristian Campbell’s added 51 hits with 10 doubles, 6 homers and 21 RBIs while Wilyer Abreu has 22 home runs with 69 RBIs and 6 stolen bases and Ceddanne Rafaela has 14 homers, 26 doubles, 3 triples, 53 RBIs and 19 stolen bases this season.

Why the Boston Red Sox will win

• The road team has won each of the Yankees’ last nine games.
• The Yankees have lost each of their last four games as favorites against the Red Sox following a loss.
• The road team has covered the run line in each of the Yankees’ last seven games.
• The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine games against teams that held a winning record.

Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts

• Dustin May has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last four road appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
• Ceddanne Rafaela has recorded at least one hit in each of the Red Sox’s last nine Sunday games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Connor Wong has recorded at least one Double in three of his last four appearances with the Red Sox as road underdogs against the Yankees.
• Triston Casas has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances in night games against AL teams that held a winning record.

New York Yankees Recap

The New York Yankees will be trying to rebound from their loss at the hands of the Red Sox on Saturday to fall to 69-60 this season. After this series, the Yankees will take on the Washington Nationals in an interleague series at home.

Yankees Lose Three In A Row

Aaron Judge leads the Yankees with 141 hits including 40 home runs, 92 RBIs, 26 doubles and a .326 batting average along with 8 stolen bases. Anthony Volpe’s also had 26 doubles with 15 stolen bases, 18 home runs and 65 RBIs while Jasson Dominguez has added 16 doubles of his own. Paul Goldschmidt has 117 hits with 28 doubles and a .281 batting average while Volpe also has 122 strikeouts so far this season. Ben Rice also has 87 hits with 21 doubles, 20 home runs and 47 RBIs while Cody Bellinger has 24 homers with 75 RBIs and Austin Wells has 17 home runs and 58 RBIs with Bellinger logging 20 doubles and Wells chipping in 16 doubles. Trent Grisham also has 23 home runs and 48 RBIs and Jazz Chisholm Jr. has 22 home runs and 58 RBIs so far this season.

Why the New York Yankees will win

• The Yankees have won six of their last eight games against American League opponents following a home loss.
• The Red Sox have lost six of their last eight night games after playing the previous day.
• The Yankees have covered the run line in five of their last six games as favorites against American League opponents following a home loss.

New York Yankees Player Prop Facts

• Giancarlo Stanton has hit at least one home run in four of the Yankees’ last six games against AL East opponents.
• Carlos Rodon has recorded seven or more strikeouts in six of his last seven home appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
• Amed Rosario has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances at Yankee Stadium against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Carlos Rodon has recorded a win in seven of his last eight home appearances.
• Aaron Judge ranks 1st amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.327) this season.

Total Runs Facts

• Six of the Yankees’ last seven games have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Five of the Red Sox’s last six road games against AL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.

Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees Prediction

I’m on the Red Sox here. I get that the Yankees are the Yankees and it’s hard to envision New York to get swept at home and continue struggling the way they are, but the Red Sox have owned this matchup this season and I don’t see that stopping here, even though Dustin May hasn’t necessarily been the most consistent option on the mound in a Dodger uniform. I think the Red Sox, as long as we keep getting this prices given the history between these two teams, are a must play at this point. Give me Boston.