Boston Red Sox vs Atlanta Braves Prediction 5/31/25 MLB Picks

The Boston Red Sox and the Atlanta Braves meet Saturday in MLB action from Truist Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Boston Red Sox vs. Atlanta Braves prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Boston Red Sox will send out Walker Buehler for the start here and Buehler is 4-2 with a 3.95 ERA and 36 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against the Braves, Buehler is 2-1 with a 2.97 ERA and 24 strikeouts. Spencer Schwellenbach will start this one for Atlanta and is 3-4 with a 3.42 ERA and 60 strikeouts this season. In his career, Schwellenbach is 1-1 with a 7.71 ERA and 7 strikeouts against the Red Sox.

Boston Red Sox Recap

The Boston Red Sox come into this game looking to build on a 5-1 win over the Braves from Friday’s series opener to sit at 28-31 on the year. After this series, the Red Sox will head home for a series against the Los Angeles Angels.

Red Sox Snap Five-Game Losing Streak

Alex Bregman leads the Red Sox with 59 hits including a team-high 17 doubles along with 11 home runs and 35 RBIs while Rafael Devers has added 64 hits with 15 doubles, 12 home runs and 52 RBIs this season. Trevor Story’s added 47 hits with 7 home runs, 23 RBIs and 9 stolen bases while Jarren Duran has 69 hits with 13 doubles, 6 triples, 4 home runs, 34 RBIs and a team-high 13 stolen bases. Kristian Campbell’s added 42 hits with 8 doubles, 5 homers and 16 RBIs while Wilyer Abreu has 13 home runs with 29 RBIs and 4 stolen bases and Ceddanne Rafaela has 3 homers, 2 triples, 20 RBIs and 7 stolen bases this season.

Why the Boston Red Sox will win

• The Red Sox have won each of their last three games as underdogs against NL East opponents.
• The Braves have lost six of their last eight games as favorites.
• The Red Sox have covered the run line in each of their last eight Saturday games as underdogs against National League opponents.
• The Braves have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight day games against American League opponents following a home loss.

Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts

• Walker Buehler has recorded a win in five of his last six appearances in day games against teams that held a losing record.
• Trevor Story has scored at least one run in 11 of his last 12 appearances at Truist Park.
• Rafael Devers has recorded two RBIs in each of the Red Sox’s last five games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
• Walker Buehler has recorded five or more strikeouts in 11 of his last 13 road appearances against NL East opponents.
• Jarren Duran has recorded at least one Single in each of the Red Sox’s last seven day games.
• Trevor Story has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances at Truist Park.
• Triston Casas has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances in day games against NL teams that held a losing record.
• Jarren Duran ranks 5th in the league in Hits (69) this season.

Atlanta Braves Recap

The Atlanta Braves come into this game looking to rebound after ending up with a loss at the hands of the Red Sox in Friday’s series opener, slipping to 26-30 as a result. After this series, the Braves will square off against the Arizona Diamondbacks at home.

Braves Drop Four Of Their Last Five

Austin Riley leads the Braves with 63 hits including 9 home runs, 32 RBIs and 10 doubles but also has the dubious distinction of leading Atlanta with 69 strikeouts so far this season. Ozzie Albies has 52 hits with 6 home runs and 22 RBIs in addition to 5 stolen bases and Matt Olson has 50 hits with 10 doubles, 12 home runs and 30 RBIs of his own. Marcell Ozuna also has 50 hits with 9 home runs and 24 RBIs. Michael Harris II also has 49 hits with 10 doubles, 2 triples, 3 home runs and 32 RBIs and 9 stolen bases as well and Nick Allen has 6 stolen bases as well this season.

Why the Atlanta Braves will win

• The Braves have won each of their last 10 home games against American League opponents following a loss.
• The Red Sox have lost each of their last six road games after playing the previous day.
• The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four day games against NL East opponents following a win.
• The Braves have covered the run line in each of their last four day games following a home loss.

Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts

• Austin Riley has hit a home run in three of his last four home appearances against AL East opponents.
• Ronald Acuna Jr. has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances in day games.
• Matt Olson has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Braves’ last six games against opponents that held a losing record.
• Austin Riley has scored at least one run in each of the Braves’ last six day games.
• Ronald Acuna Jr. has recorded at least one Single in nine of his last 10 appearances in day games against AL teams that held a losing record.
• Jarred Kelenic has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 20 home appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
• Marcell Ozuna ranks 4th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.425) this season.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Red Sox’s last four games against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Each of the last four games between the Red Sox and Braves at Truist Park have gone UNDER the total runs line.

Boston Red Sox vs. Atlanta Braves Prediction

I’m on the over in this game. Walker Buehler’s been decent but the Braves have still been crushing right-handed pitching over the last couple of weeks so I think they can do some damage to Buehler and the Boston bullpen. On the other side, the Red Sox should be able to get to Spencer Schwellenbach, who has not been as sharp as he was last season and got hit kind of hard in his lone meeting against the Red Sox so far this season. Give me the over.