Blue Jays vs Yankees Prediction 9/7/2025 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article we will formulate a Blue Jays vs Yankees prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, September 7th at Yankee Stadium in New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview

The Toronto Blue Jays are 82-60 this year after they split the first two games in this series by scores of 7-1 and 1-3. In their game two loss, Toronto cut the deficit to 2-1 in the fourth inning, but failed to score over the last five innings for the loss. The Blue Jays recorded five hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Kiner-Falefa, who went 1-4 with one RBI in the loss. Toronto started Bassitt, who allowed three hits and zero earned runs over 5.0 innings for the loss, while Varland allowed one earned run in relief. 

Prior to this series, the Blue Jays won two out of three against the Reds, but lost two out of three against the Brewers before that. Toronto has won three of their last four games and they are currently first in the AL East standings. The Toronto pitching staff has a 4.24 ERA with a 1.27 WHIP and a .242 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 712 runs with a .269 batting average and a .338 on base percentage this season. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has led Toronto with 23 home runs and 78 RBIs, while George Springer has added 27 home runs and 72 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Toronto is Max Scherzer, who is 5-2 with a 4.11 ERA and a 1.13 WHIP over 70.0 innings pitched this year. 

New York Yankees Betting Preview

The New York Yankees are 79-63 this season after they won game two by a score of 3-1 on Saturday afternoon. New York scored twice in the second inning and they added an insurance run in the sixth to seal the victory. The Yankees recorded five hits in the game and they were led by Wells, who went 0-1 with two RBIs in the win. New York started Gil, who allowed three hits and one earned run over 6.0 innings for the win, while Bednar got the save. 

Prior to this series, the Yankees won two out of three against the Astros and three out of four against the White Sox. New York has alternated wins and losses over their last seven games and they are currently second in the AL East standings. The New York pitching staff has a 3.92 ERA with a 1.26 WHIP and a .231 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 745 runs with a .250 batting average and a .330 on base percentage this season. Aaron Judge has led New York with 43 home runs and 97 RBIs, while Cody Bellinger has added 27 home runs and 87 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Max Fried, who is 15-5 with a 2.98 ERA and a 1.11 WHIP over 169.0 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Yankees will beat the Blue Jays 

The Yankees have won five of their last six games at Yankee Stadium.
The Blue Jays have lost seven of their last eight Sunday games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
The Yankees have covered the run line in five of their last six home games.
The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five games against American League opponents after playing the previous day.
The Blue Jays have trailed after 5 innings in five of their last six games as underdogs against American League opponents.
The Yankees have led after 3 innings in five of their last six games at Yankee Stadium.

Total Runs Facts

Nine of the Blue Jays’ last 11 games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
Each of the last three games between the Blue Jays and Yankees at Yankee Stadium have gone UNDER the total runs line.
The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Blue Jays’ last eight games as road underdogs against AL East opponents.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of the Yankees’ last six games against AL East opponents.

New York Yankees Player Prop Facts

Max Fried has recorded a win in three of his four previous home appearances against the Blue Jays.
Anthony Volpe has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances against the Blue Jays at Yankee Stadium.
Max Fried has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last four appearances with the Yankees as home favorites against AL East opponents.
Amed Rosario has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances at Yankee Stadium against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
Giancarlo Stanton has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances at Yankee Stadium.

Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts

Max Scherzer has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances.
Bo Bichette has recorded a Double in each of the Blue Jays’ last five road games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
Max Scherzer has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his last five appearances with his team as an underdog against the Yankees.
Bo Bichette has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 appearances against the Yankees after playing the previous day.
Daulton Varsho has hit a home run in three of the Blue Jays’ last five games.

Blue Jays vs Yankees Prediction 

New York answered their loss on Friday night with a very nice win on Saturday, as they have created some separation from the Red Sox for second in the East. The Yankees are 42-29 at home this year, while the Blue Jays are 37-36 on the road. Toronto’s lead in the East is down to three games and they are starting Scherzer, who has allowed eight earned runs and 13 hits in his last 10.0 innings of work. New York is going with Fried, who has allowed one earned run or fewer in three straight outings. Take the Yankees -1.5 here.