Blue Jays vs Yankees Prediction 9/5/2025 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article we will formulate a Blue Jays vs Yankees prediction for this MLB game on Friday, September 5th at Yankee Stadium in New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview

The Toronto Blue Jays are 81-59 this year after they won two out of three against Cincinnati by scores of 4-5, 12-9, and 13-9. In their game three win, Toronto trailed early in the game, but they dominated between the 3rd-8th innings to pull away in the high scoring victory. The Blue Jays recorded 18 hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Barger, who went 2-4 with one home run and four RBIs in the win. Toronto started Bieber, who allowed five hits and five earned runs over 6.0 innings for the win, while Varland allowed three earned runs in relief. 

Prior to that series, the Blue Jays lost two out of three against the Brewers, but did win two out of three against the Twins before that. Toronto has won three of their last four games and they are still leading the AL East standings. The Toronto pitching staff has a 4.29 ERA with a 1.27 WHIP and a .243 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 704 runs with a .270 batting average and a .339 on base percentage this season. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has led Toronto with 22 home runs and 77 RBIs, while George Springer has added 27 home runs and 72 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Toronto is Kevin Gausman, who is 8-10 with a 3.75 ERA and a 1.05 WHIP over 160.2 innings pitched this year. 

New York Yankees Betting Preview

The New York Yankees are 78-62 this season after they won two out of three against Houston by scores of 7-1, 7-8, and 8-4. In their game three win, New York led 8-3 in the ninth inning, but allowed one run and stranded the bases loaded to seal the victory. The Yankees recorded nine hits and they committed three errors in the game, while they were led by McMahon and Grisham, who both had three RBIs in the win. New York started Rodon, who allowed three hits and one earned run over 6.0 innings for the win, while Weaver and Cruz picked up holds. 

Prior to that series, the Yankees won three out of four against the White Sox and all three against the Nationals. New York has won nine of their last eleven games and they are currently second in the AL East standings. The New York pitching staff has a 3.92 ERA with a 1.26 WHIP and a .230 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 741 runs with a .251 batting average and a .331 on base percentage this season. Aaron Judge has led New York with 43 home runs and 97 RBIs, while Cody Bellinger has added 27 home runs and 87 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Cam Schlittler, who is 2-2 with a 2.61 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP over 48.1 innings pitched this season.

Why the Yankees will beat the Blue Jays

The Yankees have won seven of their last eight night games after playing the previous day.
The Blue Jays have lost each of their last four games at Yankee Stadium following a win.
The Yankees have covered the run line in each of their last four home games.
The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five road games following a road win.
The Blue Jays have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last four games as underdogs against American League opponents.
The Blue Jays have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last four games as underdogs against American League opponents.

Total Runs Facts

Ten of the Blue Jays’ last 11 games have gone OVER the total runs line.
Five of the Yankees’ last six games as favorites against the Blue Jays have gone OVER the total runs line.
The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in eight of the Blue Jays’ last nine games as road underdogs against AL East opponents.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Yankees’ last four games against AL East opponents.

Blue Jays vs Yankees Prediction 

These two teams come into this matchup battling at the top of the AL East standings, so this series will have a huge impact on how the season finishes. Toronto is 36-35 on the road this year, while New York is 41-28 at home. The Yankees are playing the better baseball coming into this game and they are starting Schlittler, who has allowed one earned run or fewer in four straight starts. Toronto is going with Gausman, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five. This is a great pitching matchup, but I have to side with the Yankees at home here.