Aug 17, 2025; Toronto, Ontario, CAN; Toronto Blue Jays starting pitcher Jose Berrios (17) throws a pitch against the Texas Rangers during the first inning at Rogers Centre. Mandatory Credit: Nick Turchiaro-Imagn Images

Blue Jays vs Marlins Prediction 8/23/2025 Today’s MLB Picks

Pick details

Toronto (75-54) vs Miami (60-68)

August 23, 2025 at 04:10 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Miami +110 — Over/Under: 8

(Get latest betting odds)

In this article we will formulate a Blue Jays vs Marlins prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, August 23rd at loanDepot park in Miami, Florida. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview

The Toronto Blue Jays are 75-54 this season after they won game one in this series by a score of 5-2 on Friday. Toronto scored three runs in the first inning and they never looked back in the relatively easy win. The Blue Jays recorded eight hits in the game and they were led by Varsho, who went 2-4 with one home run and three RBIs in the win. Toronto started Bieber, who allowed two hits and one earned run over 6.0 innings for the win, while Hoffman picked up the save. 

Prior to this series, the Blue Jays lost two out of three against the Pirates, but did win two out of three against the Rangers before that. Toronto has lost three of their last five games and they are currently first in the AL East standings. The Toronto pitching staff has a 4.20 ERA with a 1.26 WHIP and a .239 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 630 runs with a .267 batting average and a .337 on base percentage this season. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has led Toronto with 21 home runs and 69 RBIs, while George Springer has added 21 home runs and 62 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Toronto is Jose Berrios, who is 9-5 with a 4.00 ERA and a 1.29 WHIP over 146.1 innings pitched this season. 

Miami Marlins Betting Preview

The Miami Marlins are 60-68 this year after they lost game one by a score of 5-2. Miami cut the deficit to 3-1 in the second, but didn’t score again until the eighth in the defeat. The Marlins recorded four hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Sanoja and Acosta, who both had one RBI in the loss. Miami started Gusto, who allowed seven hits and five earned runs over 6.0 innings for the loss, while Simpson and Bellozo closed out the game. 

Prior to this series, the Marlins lost two out of three against the Cardinals and two out of three against the Red Sox. Miami has lost six of their last eight games and they are currently third in the NL East standings. The Miami pitching staff has a 4.53 ERA with a 1.30 WHIP and a .249 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 551 runs with a .250 batting average and a .315 on base percentage this season. Kyle Stowers has led Miami with 25 home runs and 73 RBIs, while Agustin Ramirez has added 18 home runs and 56 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Miami is Janson Junk, who is 6-2 with a 4.04 ERA and a 1.12 WHIP over 82.1 innings pitched this year. 

Why the Blue Jays will beat the Marlins 

  • The road team has won eight of the last nine games between the Blue Jays and Marlins.
  • The Marlins have lost four of their last five games against American League opponents.
  • The road team has covered the run line in nine of the last 10 games between the Blue Jays and Marlins.
  • The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in three of their last four games.
  • The Marlins have trailed after 5 innings in five of their last six games.

Total Runs Facts


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  • Four of the Marlins’ last five home games against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • Six of the Blue Jays’ last eight day games against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last four games between the Blue Jays and Marlins.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in four of the Blue Jays’ last five road games.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

  • Kyle Stowers has hit a home run in two of his three previous appearances at LoanDepot Park against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • Otto Lopez has recorded two hits in each of his two previous appearances against the Blue Jays.

Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts

  • George Springer has hit a home run in each of the Blue Jays’ last two day games against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Jose Berrios has recorded five or more strikeouts in five of his last six appearances against NL East opponents.
  • Bo Bichette has recorded at least one hit in each of the Blue Jays’ last 12 games against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Bo Bichette has recorded at least one Double in each of the Blue Jays’ last three games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.

Blue Jays vs Marlins Prediction 

Toronto was able to get a much needed win on Friday to start this series, as they picked up a bad series loss to Pittsburgh earlier this week. The Blue Jays are 33-33 on the road this year, while the Marlins are 29-34 at home. Miami has struggled in their last three series and they are starting Junk, who has allowed 3+ earned runs in five straight outings. Toronto is going with Berrios, who has allowed 6, 0, and 3 earned runs in his last three. Take the Blue Jays to get another win here. 

David Racey's Pick: Blue Jays ML


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