Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets Prediction 8/12/2025 Today’s MLB Picks

The Atlanta Braves and New York Mets meet Tuesday in MLB action at Citi Field. Here’s a Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets Prediction. This article will include a Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets Pick.

Atlanta Braves Betting Preview

The Atlanta Braves are 51-67 on the year and play the Guardians, White Sox, and Mets next. The Atlanta Braves are batting .242 on the season, have a .318 OBP, and a .392 slugging percentage. The Atlanta Braves pitching staff has a 4.21 ERA and a 1.28 WHIP. Matt Olson leads the Atlanta Braves with 118 hits and 70 RBI, while Austin Riley and Michael Harris II have combined for 214 hits and 109 RBI. 

Spencer Strider gets the ball for the Atlanta Braves, and he is 5-9 with a 4.04 ERA and 98 strikeouts this season. Strider is 6-1 with a 4.97 ERA and 55 strikeouts in his career against the New York Mets. The Braves will face off against the Cleveland Guardians this weekend.

New York Mets Betting Preview

The New York Mets are 63-55 on the year and play the Mariners, Nationals, and Braves next. The New York Mets are batting .239 on the season, have a .318 OBP, and a .406 slugging percentage. The New York Mets pitching staff has a 3.70 ERA and a 1.31 WHIP. Pete Alonso leads the New York Mets with 116 hits and 93 RBI while Francisco Lindor and Brandon Nimmo have combined for 220 hits and 127 RBI.

Clay Holmes gets the ball for the New York Mets, and he is 9-6 with a 3.46 ERA and 97 strikeouts this season. Holmes is 2-1 with a 2.18 ERA and 16 strikeouts in his career against the Atlanta Braves.

Why the New York Mets will win

• The Mets have won each of their last nine games as favorites against NL East opponents following a road loss.
• The Braves have lost each of their last six games as road underdogs against National League opponents following a home win.
• The Braves have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine night games following a win.
• The Mets have covered the run line in six of their last seven games as favorites against NL East opponents following a loss.
• The Mets have led after 3 innings in three of their last four games as home favorites against NL East opponents.
• The Mets have led after 5 innings in each of their last five games as favorites against NL East opponents.

Why the Atlanta Braves will win

• The Mets have lost each of their last six games as favorites against National League opponents following a road loss.
• The underdogs have won five of the Mets’ last six games at Citi Field.
• The Mets have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games as favorites against National League opponents following a road loss.
• The Braves have covered the run line in eight of their last nine night games against the Mets following a home win.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

• Starling Marte has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances with the Mets against NL opponents.
• Juan Soto has recorded at least one hit in 16 of his last 17 home appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
• Pete Alonso has recorded a Double in three of the Mets’ last four games as home favorites against the Braves.
• Juan Soto ranks 8th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.383) this season.

Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts

• Spencer Strider has recorded seven or more strikeouts in 24 of his last 26 appearances in night games against teams that held a winning record.
• Matt Olson has recorded at least one hit in each of the Braves’ last 12 games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Spencer Strider has recorded a win in each of his last three appearances at Citi Field.
• Marcell Ozuna has hit at least one home run in three of his last four appearances with the Braves against NL opponents.

Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets Prediction

I’m not running to the window to back the Braves, but backing the Mets just isn’t an option. The Mets have won one game since July 28. It’s a disaster in New York right now. Holmes has held his own this season with a 3.46 ERA, but the Mets keep finding ways to lose games these days. Strider has also been hard to hit on the road, where he has a .218 allowed batting average in 36.2 innings. The Mets are the better team, but they haven’t played like it lately. Give me the Braves.