Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets Prediction 06/24/2025 Picks

The Atlanta Braves and New York Mets meet Tuesday in MLB action at Citi Field. Here’s a Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets Prediction. This article will include a Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets Pick.

Atlanta Braves Betting Preview

The Atlanta Braves are 36-41 on the year and play the Phillies, Angels, and Orioles next. The Atlanta Braves are batting .245 on the season, have a .318 OBP, and a .385 slugging percentage. The Atlanta Braves pitching staff has a 3.65 ERA and a 1.22 WHIP. Austin Riley leads the Atlanta Braves with 87 hits and 40 RBI, while Matt Olson and Ozzie Albies have combined for 139 hits and 76 RBI. 

Spencer Strider gets the ball for the Atlanta Braves, and he is 2-5 with a 3.89 ERA and 45 strikeouts this season. Strider is 5-1 with a 4.91 ERA and 47 strikeouts in his career against the New York Mets.

New York Mets Betting Preview

The New York Mets are 46-33 on the year and play the Pirates, Brewers, and Yankees next. The New York Mets are batting .244 on the season, have a .325 OBP, and a .419 slugging percentage. The New York Mets pitching staff has a 3.20 ERA and a 1.28 WHIP. Pete Alonso leads the New York Mets with 85 hits and 64 RBI while Francisco Lindor and Brandon Nimmo have combined for 155 hits and 83 RBI.

Frankie Montas gets the ball for the New York Mets, and he was 7-11 with a 4.84 ERA and 148 strikeouts last season. Matz is 0-0 with a 7.56 ERA and 13 strikeouts in his career against the Atlanta Braves.

Why the New York Mets will win

The Braves have lost each of their last seven games as road favorites following a win.
The Mets have won each of their last nine Tuesday games at Citi Field.
The Braves have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven road games against NL East opponents following a win.
The Mets have covered the run line in each of their last five games against National League opponents following a home loss.
The Mets have led after 3 innings in four of their last five games as home underdogs.
The Braves have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last five Tuesday night games against opponents that held a winning record.

Why the Atlanta Braves will win

The Mets have lost eight of their last nine games after playing the previous day.
The Braves have won each of their last five games against the Mets.
The Braves have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games against the Mets following a road win.
The Mets have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five games as underdogs against NL East opponents.
The Braves have led after 5 innings in four of their last five night games against the Mets.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

Juan Soto has hit a home run in five of the Mets’ last six games at Citi Field against opponents that held a losing record.
Frankie Montas has recorded five or more strikeouts in seven of his last eight appearances with his team as an underdog against NL opponents.
Juan Soto has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 appearances at Citi Field against NL opponents that held a losing record.
Juan Soto has scored at least one run in each of the Mets’ last six games at Citi Field against opponents that held a losing record.
Juan Soto has recorded at least one RBI in eight of the Mets’ last nine games against NL opponents at Citi Field.
Pete Alonso ranks 9th amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.549) this season.

Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts

Ronald Acuna Jr. has hit a home run in three of the Braves’ last four road games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
Spencer Strider has recorded seven or more strikeouts in 22 of his last 23 appearances in night games against teams that held a winning record.
Ozzie Albies has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 appearances in night games against NL East teams that held a winning record.
Ronald Acuna Jr. has scored at least one run in each of the Braves’ last seven games as favorites.
Spencer Strider has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances with the Braves as favorites against the Mets.
Ronald Acuna Jr. has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Braves’ last four road games against NL opponents that held a winning record.

Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets Prediction

The Braves are playing their best ball of the season over the last few weeks, while the Mets have fallen off a cliff. Strider has been respectable with his 3.89 ERA and 1.14 WHIP, while we have yet to see Montas pitch this season due to injury. The Braves should be the pick here. However, in 98 at bats against current Mets, Strider is allowing a .306 batting average, .387 on base percentage and three homers. The Mets are also a much better team than what they’ve shown during this stretch, so they’re kind of due for a bounce back. I don’t love backing pitchers returning from injury or not having a sample size this late, but the Mets should turn things around sooner than later, and they have success against Strider.