Aug 16, 2025; Cleveland, Ohio, USA; Atlanta Braves center fielder Michael Harris II (23) makes a catch at the wall in the ninth inning against the Cleveland Guardians at Progressive Field. Mandatory Credit: David Richard-Imagn Images

Atlanta Braves vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction 8/17/2025 Today’s MLB Picks

Pick details

Atlanta (55-68) vs Cleveland (63-59)

August 17, 2025 at 01:40 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Cleveland -1.5 — Over/Under: +9

(Get latest betting odds)

The Atlanta Braves and Cleveland Guardians meet Sunday in MLB action at Progressive Field. Here’s a Atlanta Braves vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction. This article will include a Atlanta Braves vs Cleveland Guardians Pick.

Atlanta Braves Betting Preview

The Atlanta Braves are 55-68 on the year and play the White Sox, Mets, and Marlins next. The Atlanta Braves are batting .243 on the season, have a .319 OBP, and a .392 slugging percentage. The Atlanta Braves pitching staff has a 4.22 ERA and a 1.28 WHIP. Matt Olson leads the Atlanta Braves with 124 hits and 72 RBI, while Michael Harris II and Austin Riley have combined for 225 hits and 118 RBI. 

Erick Fedde gets the ball for the Atlanta Braves, and he is 4-12 with a 5.40 ERA and 70 strikeouts this season. Fedde is 2-0 with a 2.37 ERA and 9 strikeouts in his career against the Los Angeles Angels.

Cleveland Guardians Betting Preview

The Cleveland Guardians are 63-59 on the year and play the Diamondbacks, Rangers, and Rays next. The Cleveland Guardians are batting .227 on the season, have a .299 OBP, and a .375 slugging percentage. The Cleveland Guardians pitching staff has a 3.89 ERA and a 1.31 WHIP. Jose Ramirez leads the Cleveland Guardians with 132 hits and 64 RBI while Steven Kwan and Carlos Santana have combined for 216 hits and 91 RBI.

Logan Allen gets the ball for the Cleveland Guardians, and he is 7-9 with a 3.94 ERA and 92 strikeouts this season. This will be Allen’s second career game against the Atlanta Braves.

Why the Cleveland Guardians will win

  • The Braves have lost seven of their last eight day games following a road win.
  • The Guardians have won four of their last five games against National League opponents following a loss.
  • The Braves have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six day games against American League opponents following a road win.
  • The Guardians have covered the run line in each of their last three day games against NL East opponents following a loss.

Why the Atlanta Braves will win

  • The Braves have won each of their last seven games after playing the previous day.
  • The Guardians have lost four of their last five games as home favorites after playing the previous day.
  • The Braves have covered the run line in each of their last seven road games after playing the previous day.
  • The Guardians have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight home games against teams that held a losing record.
  • The Guardians have trailed after 5 innings in five of their last six day games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.

Cleveland Guardians Player Prop Facts

  • Steven Kwan has recorded two or more hits in each of the Guardians’ last five games against the Braves at Progressive Field.
  • Lane Thomas has hit a home run in each of his last three appearances with his team as a home favorite against NL East opponents.

Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts

  • Michael Harris has hit a home run in three of the Braves’ last five games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Erick Fedde has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last four appearances in day games against AL Central teams that held a winning record.
  • Michael Harris has recorded at least one hit in each of the Braves’ last 13 games as road underdogs.
  • Michael Harris has recorded a Double in each of the Braves’ last three day games.

Atlanta Braves vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction

The Braves are having one of their best weeks of the season so they’re worth a look here, but Fedde has a 5.40 ERA and 1.49 WHIP on the season. Fedde has allowed eight hits and seven runs in his last 10.1 innings. Fedde has allowed 13 hits and 11 runs in his last 15 innings. Allen has been respectable all year, and he’s allowed eight hits and three earned runs in his last 10 innings. With the far better pitcher on the mound, I’d expect a bounce back game from the Guardians.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Cleveland Guardians

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