Atlanta Braves vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction MLB Picks 7/10/24

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Arizona Diamondbacks (45-45) vs Atlanta Braves (49-39)

Game Info: Wednesday, July 10, 2024 at 9:40 pm (Chase Field)

The Line: Betting Odds: Arizona Diamondbacks +116 / Atlanta Braves -136 — Over/Under: 9

(Get latest betting odds)


The Atlanta Braves and the Arizona Diamondbacks meet Wednesday in MLB action from Chase Field. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s an Atlanta Braves vs. Arizona Diamondbacks prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Atlanta Braves will send out Charlie Morton for the start here and Morton is 5-5 with a 3.96 ERA and 92 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against Arizona, Morton is 0-2 with a 5.02 ERA and 34 strikeouts. The Arizona Diamondbacks did not have a starting pitcher announced at the time that this article was posted.

Atlanta Braves Recap

The Atlanta Braves come into this one looking to build some steam after picking up another win thanks to a 6-2 win over the Diamondbacks on Tuesday. The win meant at least a series split for the Braves after their series win against the Phillies this past weekend.

Braves Trying To Close Ground In NL East

Marcell Ozuna leads the Braves with 98 hits including 23 home runs and 73 RBIs while Orlando Arcia has 18 doubles and Ozzie Albies has a team-high 24 doubles, logging 86 hits as well this season. Ronald Acuna Jr. has a team-high 16 stolen bases as well this season but is out for the season with a torn ACL. Matt Olson has 21 doubles, 13 home runs and 42 RBIs with a team-high 103 strikeouts and Austin Riley has 17 doubles with a pair of triples.

Why the Atlanta Braves will win

  • The Braves have won each of their last six games against the Diamondbacks.
  • The Diamondbacks have lost seven of their last eight games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Braves have covered the run line in seven of their last eight night games against NL West opponents following a road win.
  • The Diamondbacks have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six Wednesday home games.

Arizona Diamondbacks Recap

The Arizona Diamondbacks will try to bounce back after another frustrating performance in Tuesday’s defeat against the Braves. The start to the series was far from ideal for the Diamondbacks after back-to-back series wins over division rivals such as the Padres and Dodgers over the last week.

Diamondbacks Trying To Climb Back Into NL Playoff Hunt

Ketel Marte leads the Diamondbacks with 96 hits in addition to a .281 batting average and 19 doubles with 17 home runs and 51 RBIs while Lourdes Gurriel Jr. also has 13 home runs and 55 RBIs as well this season. Corbin Carroll has a team-high 16 stolen bases while Eugenio Suarez has 100 strikeouts this season. Christian Walker also has 22 home runs with a team-high 65 RBIs of his own in addition to 100 strikeouts this season.

Why the Arizona Diamondbacks will win

  • The Braves have lost six of their last seven road games following a road win.
  • The Diamondbacks have won 14 of their last 17 home games against National League opponents following a loss.
  • The Braves have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 10 night games against National League opponents following a win.
  • The Diamondbacks have covered the run line in six of their last seven night games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.

Braves vs. Diamondbacks Prediction

I’m on the over here. Charlie Morton’s been susceptible on the road more than at home this season and I think the Diamondbacks are still hitting well enough against righties in the last two weeks to get some offensive get back here but on the other side, I don’t trust the Diamondbacks pitching staff right now outside of Zac Gallen, especially that Diamondbacks bullpen. All in all, I think we have a more competitive game here and a game that cruises to an over.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Over 9

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