Atlanta Braves vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction MLB Picks 7/9/24

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Arizona Diamondbacks (45-45) vs Atlanta Braves (49-39)

July 9, 2024 at 09:40 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Arizona Diamondbacks -115 / Atlanta Braves -103 — Over/Under: 8.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The Atlanta Braves and Arizona Diamondbacks meet Tuesday in MLB game 2 action at Chase Field. Here’s a Atlanta Braves vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction. This article will include a Atlanta Braves vs Arizona Diamondbacks Pick.

Atlanta Braves Betting Preview

The Atlanta Braves are 50-39 on the year after games against the Giants and Phillies. The Atlanta Braves have scored 16 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 5 of their last 10 games. The Atlanta Braves have won 7 of their last 8 games when scoring 4 or more runs. Marcell Ozuna leads the Atlanta Braves with 96 hits and 73 RBI, while Ozzie Albies and Matt Olson have combined for 164 hits and 86 RBI.

Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Preview

The Arizona Diamondbacks look to get back to a .500 record after playing the Dodgers and Padres. The Arizona Diamondbacks have scored 20 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 8 straight games. The Arizona Diamondbacks have won 5 of their last 8 games when scoring 4 or more runs. Ketel Marte leads the Arizona Diamondbacks with 95 hits and 51 RBI, while Christian Walker and Lourdes Gurriel Jr. have combined for 183 hits and 120 RBI.

Atlanta Braves vs Arizona Diamondbacks Pitching Pick Matchup

Charlie Morton gets the ball for the Atlanta Braves, and he is 5-5 with a 3.96 ERA and 92 strikeouts this season. Morton has allowed 8 hits and 3 earned runs in his last 11.2 innings. Morton has a 4.28 ERA and .233 allowed batting average in 40 road innings. Morton is 5-3 with a 4.16 ERA and 82 strikeouts in his career against the Arizona Diamondbacks.

Zac Gallen gets the ball for the Arizona Diamondbacks, and he is 6-4 with a 3.06 ERA and 71 strikeouts this season. Gallen has allowed 5 hits and 3 runs in his last 10 innings. Gallen has a 1.72 ERA and .202 allowed batting average in 36.2 home innings. Gallen is 2-0 with a 2.45 ERA and 23 strikeouts in his career against the Atlanta Braves.

Why the Arizona Diamondbacks will Beat the Braves

  • The Braves have lost each of their last five games as favorites against National League opponents following a road win.
  • The Diamondbacks have won four of their last five games as home underdogs against National League opponents following a loss.
  • The Diamondbacks have covered the run line in each of their last seven games as underdogs against NL East opponents following a home loss.
  • The Braves have failed to cover the run line in 12 of their last 13 games as favorites against National League opponents following a win.

Arizona Diamondbacks Player Prop Facts

  • Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has recorded a Double in four of his five previous appearances with his team as a home underdog against the Braves.
  • Zac Gallen has recorded a win in each of his last six Tuesday appearances in night games at Chase Field.
  • Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Diamondbacks’ last six games against NL opponents at Chase Field.
  • Corbin Carroll has scored at least one run in each of the Diamondbacks’ last six games against NL opponents.
  • Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has recorded at least one Single in each of his last seven appearances against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • Geraldo Perdomo has recorded at least one total base in each of his last six appearances in night games against NL East teams that held a winning record.
  • Zac Gallen has recorded six or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances at Chase Field against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 14 appearances against NL opponents.
  • Pavin Smith has hit a home run in each of his last two home appearances.

Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts

  • Austin Riley has hit a home run in five of the Braves’ last six games at Chase Field against NL West opponents that held a losing record.
  • Adam Duvall has recorded a Double in three of the Braves’ last four night games against NL opponents that held a losing record.
  • Austin Riley has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Braves’ last seven games at Chase Field against NL West opponents that held a losing record.
  • Chris Sale has recorded a win in each of his last five appearances against NL West opponents.
  • Matt Olson has recorded a Single in each of the Braves’ last six road games against NL opponents that held a losing record.
  • Austin Riley has scored at least one run in each of the Braves’ last eight games as favorites against the Diamondbacks.
  • Chris Sale has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his last seven appearances in night games.
  • Ronald Acuna Jr. has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 12 road appearances against the Diamondbacks.
  • Ronald Acuna Jr. has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 road appearances against the Diamondbacks.
  • Marcell Ozuna ranks T4th in the league in Home Runs (23) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Arizona Diamondbacks rank 29th in the league for hits allowed this season (822).
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks rank 28th in the league for ERA this season (4.63).
  • The Atlanta Braves rank 2nd in the league for ERA this season (3.41).
  • The Atlanta Braves rank 3rd in the league for doubles this season (167).

Atlanta Braves vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction

This has a chance to be the best game on Tuesdays card, as Charlie Morton and Zac Gallen are two fantastic pitchers when they’re at their best. So with that said, I lean toward the Diamondbacks because they’re at home and Gallen has been slightly sharper despite pitching just twice since June. At home, Gallen has been even better. Morton has been hit on the road, and the Diamondbacks have had success against him in the past. Pick ’em spot, but give me the Diamondbacks at home. 

Randy Chambers's Pick: Arizona Diamondbacks -115

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