Astros vs Tigers Prediction 8/20/2025 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article we will formulate an Astros vs Tigers prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, August 20th at Comerica Park in Detroit, Michigan. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Houston Astros Betting Preview

The Houston Astros are 69-57 this year after they lost the first two games in this series by scores of 0-10 and 0-1. In their game two loss, Houston extended their scoreless streak and couldn’t even score with the ghost runner on second base in the 10th. The Astros recorded four hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Pena, who went 1-3 with one walk in the loss. Houston started Brown, who allowed five hits and zero earned runs over 6.0 innings, while Ort picked up the loss in relief. 

Prior to this series, the Astros lost two out of three against the Orioles, but did win two out of three against the Red Sox before that. Houston has lost three games in a row, but they are still first in the AL West standings. The Houston pitching staff has a 3.86 ERA with a 1.22 WHIP and a .233 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 530 runs with a .254 batting average and a .318 on base percentage this season. Jose Altuve has led Houston with 22 home runs and 64 RBIs, while Yanier Diaz has added 17 home runs and 53 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Houston is Framber Valdez, who is 11-6 with a 3.01 ERA and a 1.18 WHIP over 152.1 innings pitched this year. 

Detroit Tigers Betting Preview

The Detroit Tigers are 75-53 this season after they won game two by a score of 1-0 in extra innings. Detroit wasted a few great chances to win in the first nine innings, but they were patient in the 10th and won on a bases loaded walk. The Tigers recorded five hits in the game and they were led by Torres, who went 2-4 with one RBI in the win. Detroit started Skubal, who allowed three hits and zero earned runs over 7.0 innings, while Vest picked up the win. 

Prior to this series, the Tigers won three out of four against the Twins and two out of three against the White Sox. Detroit has won eight of their last ten games and they are still first in the AL Central standings. The Detroit pitching staff has a 3.77 ERA with a 1.22 WHIP and a .237 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 615 runs with a .249 batting average and a .318 on base percentage this season. Riley Greene has led Detroit with 29 home runs and 92 RBIs, while Spencer Torkelson has added 26 home runs and 67 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Detroit is Charlie Morton, who is 8-10 with a 5.20 ERA and a 1.50 WHIP over 117.2 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Tigers will beat the Astros

• The Tigers have won each of their last seven home games after going to extra innings.
• The Astros have lost each of their last four games as favorites after going to extra innings.
• The Astros have failed to cover the run line in 19 of their last 20 games as favorites against American League opponents.
• The Tigers have covered the run line each of their last nine Wednesday day games against AL West opponents that held a winning record.
• The Tigers have led after 5 innings in each of their last five Wednesday games against opponents that held a winning record.
• The Astros have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four day games.

Total Runs Facts

• Seven of the Tigers’ last eight home games against AL West opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Each of the Astros’ last four road games after going to extra innings have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Astros’ last six games at Comerica Park.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in eight of the last nine games between the Astros and Tigers at Comerica Park.

Astros vs Tigers Prediction 

Detroit was able to grind out a win in 10 innings on Tuesday night, and they will look for the series sweep here. The Tigers are 41-24 at home this season, while the Astros are 31-30 on the road. Houston has lost three games in a row and they have failed to score a single run in all three of those losses. The Astros are starting Valdez, who has allowed 3, 4, and 5 earned runs in his last three outings. The Tigers are going with Morton, who has allowed one earned run or fewer in two of his three starts with Detroit. This Houston offense is in a huge slump and Valdez has not been himself recently, so I will take the Tigers at home here.