Astros vs Tigers Prediction 8/18/2025 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article we will formulate an Astros vs Tigers prediction for this MLB game on Monday, August 18th at Comerica Park in Detroit, Michigan. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Houston Astros Betting Preview

The Houston Astros are 69-55 this year after they lost two out of three against Baltimore by scores of 0-7, 5-4, and 0-12. In their game three loss, Houston fell behind early and allowed Baltimore to have a big fifth inning to seal the loss. The Astros recorded six hits in the game and they were led by Diaz, who went 2-4 in the defeat. Houston started Javier, who allowed three hits and one earned run over 3.0 innings for the loss, while Dubin allowed four earned runs in relief. 

Prior to that series, the Astros won two out of three against the Red Sox and two out of three against the Yankees. Houston has won four of their last seven games and they are currently first in the AL West standings. The Houston pitching staff has a 3.84 ERA with a 1.21 WHIP and a .232 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 530 runs with a .255 batting average and a .320 on base percentage this season. Jose Altuve has led Houston with 22 home runs and 64 RBIs, while Yanier Diaz has added 17 home runs and 53 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Houston is Spencer Arrighetti, who is 1-3 with a 6.38 ERA and a 1.47 WHIP over 18.1 innings pitched this year. 

Detroit Tigers Betting Preview

The Detroit Tigers are 73-53 this season after they won three out of four against Minnesota by scores of 4-3, 7-0, 8-5, and 1-8. In their game four loss, Detroit tied the game at one in the third inning, but failed to score over the last six innings for the loss. The Tigers recorded just three hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Carpenter, who went 1-4 with one RBI in the loss. Detroit started Paddack, who allowed nine hits and eight earned runs over 5.2 innings for the loss, while Horn finished the last 2.1 innings in relief. 

Prior to this series, the Tigers won two out of three against the White Sox and two out of three against the Angels. Detroit has won six of their last eight games and they are currently first in the AL Central standings. The Detroit pitching staff has a 3.83 ERA with a 1.23 WHIP and a .238 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 604 runs with a .249 batting average and a .317 on base percentage this season. Riley Greene has led Detroit with 28 home runs and 90 RBIs, while Spencer Torkelson has added 26 home runs and 67 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Detroit is Jack Flaherty, who is 6-12 with a 4.76 ERA and a 1.31 WHIP over 124.2 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Tigers will beat the Astros

• The Tigers have won each of their last seven Monday home games.
• The Astros have lost each of their last three games against AL Central opponents.
• The Astros have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 10 games against American League opponents following a home loss.
• The Tigers have covered the run line in each of their last seven Monday games at Comerica Park.
• The Astros have trailed after 5 innings in seven of their last nine games at Comerica Park against American League opponents that held a winning record.

Why the Astros will beat the Tigers

• The Astros have won six of their last seven games as road underdogs against AL Central opponents following a loss.
• The Tigers have lost seven of their last eight games at Comerica Park against teams that held a winning record.
• The Astros have covered the run line in each of their last eight games as road underdogs against AL Central opponents following a loss.
• The Tigers have failed to cover the run line each of their last six night games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Tigers have trailed after 5 innings in five of their last six night games at Comerica Park against AL West opponents.
• The Tigers have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four games at Comerica Park against AL West opponents that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Tigers’ last six home games against AL West opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Eight of the Astros’ last 10 games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Astros’ last four games at Comerica Park.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in six of the last seven games between the Astros and Tigers at Comerica Park.

Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts

• Kerry Carpenter has hit a home run in six of his last eight home appearances after playing the previous day.
• Jack Flaherty has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his last eight appearances at Comerica Park against opponents that held a winning record.
• Parker Meadows has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 14 appearances in night games against teams that held a winning record.

Houston Astros Player Prop Facts

• Isaac Paredes has hit at least one home run in each of his last two road appearances against former teams.
• Jake Meyers has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 16 road appearances against AL opponents.

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Astros vs Tigers Prediction 

Detroit had their winning streak snapped in their blowout loss on Sunday afternoon, but they have played pretty well in their last three series. The Tigers are 39-24 at home this year, while the Astros are 31-28 on the road. Houston has been very inconsistent with their pitching and they are starting Arrighetti, who has allowed seven earned runs and 12 hits in his last 8.2 innings. Detroit is going with Flaherty, who has allowed 10 earned runs and 16 hits in his last 9.0 innings. Take the over here.