Astros vs Tigers Prediction 6/28/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article we will formulate an Astros vs Tigers prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, June 28th at Comerica Park in Detroit, Michigan. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Houston Astros Betting Preview

The Houston Astros are 41-44 this year after they won two of the first three games in this series by scores of 2-1, 0-8, and 8-6. In game three, Houston trailed 6-4 in the fifth inning, but they scored the last four runs for the victory. The Astros recorded 15 hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Pena, who went 3-5 with two RBIs. Teng allowed eight hits and four earned runs over 3.2 innings, while Blubaugh got the win and Hader picked up the save. Prior to this series, Houston won two out of three against the Blue Jays and two out of three against the Guardians. 

This season, Houston has a 4.77 ERA with a 1.39 WHIP and a .242 opponent batting average, while they have scored 380 runs with a .243 batting average and a .316 on base percentage. Yordan Alvarez has led the Astros with 25 home runs and 56 RBIs, while Christian Walker has added 18 home runs and 53 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Houston is Hunter Brown, who is 1-0 with a 1.40 ERA and a 1.19 WHIP over 19.1 innings pitched this year. 

Detroit Tigers Betting Preview

The Detroit Tigers are 35-48 this season after they lost game three by a score of 6-8 on Saturday. Detroit scored six runs in the first five innings, but their bullpen fell apart for the disappointing loss. The Tigers recorded 11 hits and they committed two errors in the game, while they were led by Carpenter, who went 2-4 with one home run and four RBIs. Valdez allowed eight hits and four earned runs over 6.0 innings, while Vest blew the save and picked up the loss. Prior to this series, Detroit lost two out of three against the Yankees, but did sweep the White Sox before that. 

This season, Detroit has a 3.80 ERA with a 1.25 WHIP and a .239 opponent batting average, while they have scored 339 runs with a .235 batting average and a .314 on base percentage. Dillon Dingler has led the Tigers with 19 home runs and 58 RBIs, while Riley Greene has added nine home runs and 34 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Detroit is Jack Flaherty, who is 1-8 with a 5.35 ERA and a 1.57 WHIP over 65.2 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Detroit Tigers will win

• The Astros have lost five of their last six games as road favorites following a win.
• The Tigers have won seven of their last eight home games against AL West opponents following a home loss.
• The Astros have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games as road favorites after playing the previous day.
• The underdogs have covered the run line in six of the Tigers’ last seven games at Comerica Park.
• The Tigers have led after 5 innings in three of their last four games as home underdogs.
• The Astros have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five road games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.

Why the Houston Astros will win

• The Tigers have lost seven of their last eight day games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
• The Astros have won each of their last four day games after playing the previous day.
• The Tigers have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight day games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
• The Astros have covered the run line in four of their last five games against the Tigers.
• The Tigers have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four day games against AL West opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Tigers’ last four games as underdogs have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Three of the Astros’ last four games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in nine of the last 10 games between the Astros and Tigers at Comerica Park.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in eight of the Astros’ last nine day games at Comerica Park.

Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts

• Kerry Carpenter has hit a home run in three of the Tigers’ last four games against the Astros.
• Jack Flaherty has recorded six or more strikeouts in six of his last seven home appearances against AL West opponents.
• Kevin McGonigle has recorded at least one hit in each of the Tigers’ last nine games against AL West opponents.

Houston Astros Player Prop Facts

• Christian Walker has hit at least one home run in four of his last seven appearances with the Astros as road favorites against AL opponents.
• Hunter Brown has recorded eight or more strikeouts in four of his five previous road appearances against AL Central opponents.
• Jeremy Pena has recorded at least one hit in each of the Astros’ last eight games against the Tigers.

Astros vs Tigers Prediction

Houston was able to come from behind to get the win on Saturday and they have won four of their last five games. The Astros are 21-23 on the road this year, while the Tigers are 23-20 at home. Detroit has lost four of their last five games, but they have scored 14 runs in their last two games. The Tigers are starting Flaherty, who has allowed three earned runs in three of his last five starts, while Brown has allowed one earned run or fewer in all four of his outings. Take the Astros here, as I don’t trust Flaherty.

David Racey's Pick: Astros ML