Jun 25, 2026; Detroit, Michigan, USA; Houston Astros center fielder Taylor Trammell (26) celebrates with Houston Astros third base coach Tony Perezchica (12) after hitting a solo home run against the Detroit Tigers in the sixth  inning at Comerica Park. Mandatory Credit: Lon Horwedel-Imagn Images
Lon Horwedel-Imagn Images

Astros vs Tigers Prediction 6/26/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

Pick details

MATCHUP Houston Astros Detroit Tigers
Team Records 40-43 34-47
Spread +1.5 -205 -1.5 168
Moneyline +101 -122
Total Over 8.5 (-107) Under 8.5 (-113)
Where Comerica Park, Detroit, Michigan
When Friday, June 26, 2026
Time 06:40 PM EDT
TV MLB.TV

In this article we will formulate an Astros vs Tigers prediction for this MLB game on Friday, June 26th at Comerica Park in Detroit, Michigan. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Houston Astros Betting Preview

The Houston Astros are 40-43 this season after they won game one by a score of 2-1 on Thursday night. Houston scored once in the sixth inning and once in the ninth, which was enough for the low scoring win. The Astros recorded five hits in the game and they were led by Trammell, who went 1-2 with one home run and one RBI. Imai allowed two hits and zero earned runs over 6.0 innings for the win, while De Los Santos picked up the save. Prior to this series, Houston won two out of three against the Blue Jays and two out of three against the Guardians. 

This season, Houston has a 4.72 ERA with a 1.39 WHIP and a .241 opponent batting average, while they have scored 372 runs with a .242 batting average and a .316 on base percentage. Yordan Alvarez has led the Astros with 25 home runs and 56 RBIs, while Christian Walker has added 18 home runs and 52 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Houston is Spencer Arrighetti, who is 7-3 with a 3.13 ERA and a 1.20 WHIP over 69.0 innings pitched this season. 

Detroit Tigers Betting Preview

The Detroit Tigers are 34-47 this year after they lost game one by a score of 2-1 last night. Detroit struggled to find any offense, but they did score in the ninth to avoid the shutout. The Tigers recorded five hits in the game and they were led by Dingler, who went 1-3 with one home run and one RBI. Melton allowed two hits and one earned run over 6.0 innings for the loss, while Jansen allowed one earned run in relief. Prior to this series, Detroit lost two out of three against the Yankees, but did sweep the White Sox before that. 

This season, Detroit has a 3.80 ERA with a 1.25 WHIP and a .237 opponent batting average, while they have scored 325 runs with a .234 batting average and a .313 on base percentage. Dillon Dingler has led the Tigers with 19 home runs and 57 RBIs, while Riley Greene has added nine home runs and 34 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Detroit is Keider Montero, who is 3-5 with a 3.68 ERA and a 1.00 WHIP over 80.2 innings pitched this year. 

Why the Detroit Tigers will win

  • The Tigers have won four of their last five home games against AL West opponents following a loss.
  • The Tigers have led after 3 innings in three of their last four night games against AL West opponents that held a losing record.

Why the Houston Astros will win

  • The Astros have won each of their last three games as road underdogs.
  • The Tigers have lost 10 of their last 11 night games against American League opponents following a home loss.
  • The Astros have covered the run line in each of their last 14 Friday night games as underdogs against AL Central opponents.
  • The Tigers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six Friday night games as home favorites against AL West opponents.

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the Tigers’ last six night games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • Four of the Astros’ last five road games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Astros’ last five night games at Comerica Park.
  • There has been no run scored during the first inning in six of the last seven night games between the Astros and Tigers at Comerica Park.

Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts

  • Dillon Dingler has hit a home run in three of the Tigers’ last four games as home favorites.
  • Kevin McGonigle has recorded at least one hit in each of the Tigers’ last seven games as favorites.
  • Keider Montero has recorded four or more strikeouts in each of his last three home appearances against opponents that held a losing record.

Houston Astros Player Prop Facts

  • Spencer Arrighetti has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his last three appearances against AL opponents.
  • Spencer Arrighetti has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances with the Astros as road underdogs against AL opponents.
  • Taylor Trammell has hit a home run in each of his last two road appearances.
  • Jeremy Pena has recorded at least one hit in each of the Astros’ last seven night games against opponents that held a losing record.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Tigers rank 26th in the league for RBIs this season (310).
  • The Tigers rank 25th in the league for runs scored this season (324).
  • The Astros rank T28th in the league for steals this season (27).
  • The Astros rank 27th in the league for ERA this season (4.76).

Astros vs Tigers Prediction 

Houston was able to get a very low scoring win on Thursday night and they have won three games in a row. The Astros are 20-22 on the road this year, while the Tigers are 22-19 at home. Detroit has dropped three games in a row and they have scored two runs or fewer in six of their last 12. The Tigers are starting Montero, who has allowed eight earned runs in his last 25.2 innings, while Arrighetti has allowed 17 earned runs in his last 22 innings. Take the Tigers to get the win here.

David Racey's Pick: Tigers ML

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