Astros vs Orioles Prediction 8/24/2025 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article we will formulate an Astros vs Orioles prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, August 24th at Camden Yards in Baltimore, Maryland. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Houston Astros Betting Preview

The Houston Astros are 72-58 this year after they won the first three games in this series by scores of 7-2, 10-7, and 9-8. In their game three win, Houston jumped out to a 5-0 lead in the first inning, but they barely hung on for the high scoring victory. The Astros recorded 11 hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Caratini, who went 2-4 with one home run and three RBIs in the win. Houston started Javier, who allowed three hits and three earned runs over 2.0 innings, while Blubaugh picked up the win and Abreu got the save. 

Prior to this series, the Astros lost all three against the Tigers and two out of three against the Orioles. Houston has won three games in a row and they are currently first in the AL West standings. The Houston pitching staff has a 3.92 ERA with a 1.23 WHIP and a .234 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 558 runs with a .254 batting average and a .318 on base percentage this season. Jose Altuve has led Houston with 22 home runs and 64 RBIs, while Christian Walker has added 19 home runs and 72 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Houston is Spencer Arrighetti, who is 1-4 with a 6.94 ERA and a 1.63 WHIP over 23.1 innings pitched this year. 

Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview

The Baltimore Orioles are 59-70 this season after they lost game three in this series by a score of 9-8 on Saturday. Baltimore managed to erase an early 5-0 deficit, but their pitching staff couldn’t hold up in the close loss. The Orioles recorded nine hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Cowser, who went 2-5 with one home run and three RBIs in the loss. Baltimore started Kremer, who allowed seven hits and six earned runs over 5.0 innings, while Enns picked up the loss in relief. 

Prior to this series, the Orioles won both games against the Red Sox and two out of three against the Astros. Baltimore has lost three games in a row and they are currently last in the AL East standings. The Baltimore pitching staff has a 4.72 ERA with a 1.38 WHIP and a .261 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 564 runs with a .241 batting average and a .307 on base percentage this season. Jackson Holliday has led Baltimore with 15 home runs and 49 RBIs, while Gunnar Henderson has added 15 home runs and 58 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Baltimore is Trevor Rogers, who is 6-2 with a 1.41 ERA and a 0.80 WHIP over 76.1 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Orioles will beat the Astros 

• The Astros have lost six of their last seven day games after playing the previous day.
• The Orioles have won four of their last five day games against AL West opponents.
• The Astros have failed to cover the run line each of their last four day games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
• The Orioles have covered the run line in six of their last seven day games following a loss.
• The Orioles have led after 3 innings in each of their last five Sunday games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Orioles have led after 5 innings in each of their last five day games against American League opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Seven of the Astros’ last eight games against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Each of the last five games between the Astros and Orioles have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in six of the Astros’ last seven games as underdogs against AL East opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in six of the Orioles’ last seven day games.

Astros vs Orioles Prediction

Houston continued their offensive outburst in their game three win and they have scored 26 runs so far in the series. The Astros are 34-31 on the road this year, while the Orioles are 30-33 at home. Baltimore has struggled with their pitching in this series, but they are starting Rogers, who has allowed one earned run or fewer in five straight outings. The Astros are going with Arrighetti, who has allowed five earned runs in three of his last four starts. Take Baltimore to get the win here.