Pick details
| MATCHUP | Milwaukee Brewers | Chicago Cubs |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 85-53 | 78-60 |
| Spread | +1.5 -186 | -1.5 153 |
| Moneyline | +105 | -126 |
| Total | Over 10.5 (-109) | Under 10.5 (-110) |
| Where | Wrigley Field, Chicago, Illinois | |
| When | Tuesday, September 1, 2026 | |
| Time | 07:40 PM EDT | |
| TV | MLB.TV | |
Chicago Cubs Preview
The Chicago Cubs have a 78-60 record this season and are sitting in 2nd place of the NL Central. They have a 40-29 home record and are coming off a 17-3 home win against the Brewers. They will face the Marlins and the Brewers next.
The Chicago Cubs have a .253 batting average this season, .341 OBP, and .434 slugging percentage. Chicago’s pitching staff has a 4.14 ERA and 1.25 WHIP. Pete Crow-Armstrong is the Cubs’ best hitter with a .282 batting average, while leading the team in RBI with 91 and home runs with 38.
Matthew Boyd (L) is the projected starting pitcher for the Cubs, with an 8-3 record, 3.99 ERA, and 1.22 WHIP.
Milwaukee Brewers Preview
The Milwaukee Brewers have an 85-53 record this season and are sitting in 1st place of the NL Central. They have a 38-28 road record and are coming off a 17-3 road loss against the Cubs. They will face the Reds and the Cubs next.
The Milwaukee Brewers have a .255 batting average this season, .338 OBP, and .398 slugging percentage. Milwaukee’s pitching staff has a 3.47 ERA and 1.18 WHIP. Jackson Chourio is the Brewers’ best hitter with a .281 batting average. Brice Turang leads the team in RBI with 78, while Jake Bauers adds a team-high 23 home runs.
Robert Gasser (L) is the projected starting pitcher for the Brewers, with a 4-5 record, 4.59 ERA, and 1.30 WHIP.
Milwaukee Brewers @ the Chicago Cubs Betting Trends: September 1, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Matthew Boyd Record this season: 8-3 ERA: 3.99
- Home Record: 5-2
- Last 5 against Brewers: 2-2
Why the Chicago Cubs will win
- The Cubs have won 10 of their last 11 night games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Brewers have lost each of their last four road games against NL Central opponents.
- The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven night games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Cubs have covered the run line in six of their last seven night games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
- The Cubs have led after 5 innings in six of their last seven night games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
- The Cubs have won the first inning in each of their last four games.
- The Cubs have led after 3 innings in each of their last four games.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Robert Gasser Record this season: 4-5 ERA: 4.59
- Road Record: 3-3
- Last 5 against Cubs: 0-0
Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win
- The Brewers have won each of their last eight games as road underdogs against the Cubs following a road loss.
- The Cubs have lost each of their last four games as favorites against the Brewers following a win.
- The Brewers have covered the run line in 17 of their last 18 games as road underdogs against NL Central opponents following a road loss.
- The Cubs have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight games as home favorites following a win.
- The Cubs have trailed after 5 innings in five of their last six night games at Wrigley Field against NL Central opponents.
- The Brewers have won the first inning in four of their last five games.
- The Brewers have led after 3 innings in four of their last five night games.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Cubs’ last six games against NL Central opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Each of the Brewers’ last four road games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in 12 of the Cubs’ last 13 night games at Wrigley Field.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Brewers’ last five games.
Chicago Cubs Player Prop Facts
- Seiya Suzuki has hit a home run in three of the Cubs’ last four games against the Brewers.
- Matthew Boyd has recorded a win in eight of his last 10 home appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
- Matthew Boyd has recorded six or more strikeouts in four of his five previous home appearances against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- Ian Happ has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances in night games.
- Pete Crow-Armstrong ranks 2nd in the league in Home Runs (38) this season.
Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts
- Robert Gasser has recorded four or more strikeouts in 10 of his last 11 appearances in night games.
- Cooper Pratt has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine road appearances.
- Jake Bauers has hit a home run in two of the Brewers’ last three games as underdogs against the Cubs.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Cubs rank 1st in the league for runs scored this season (742).
- The Cubs rank 1st in the league for hits this season (1205).
- The Brewers rank T29th in the league for home runs this season (127).
- The Brewers rank 2nd in the league for on-base percentage this season (.338).
Brewers vs Cubs Prediction
The Cubs are 6-2 in their last 8 meetings against the Brewers, but are 1-3 in their last 4 meetings in Chicago.
In this Brewers vs Cubs Prediction, the Cubs are coming as -120 home favorites. I like the Cubs to keep rolling in this one, as they have scored 17 runs in two of their last three games and they seem unstoppable. They have the pitching edge in this game with Boyd going up against a struggling Robert Gasser, who has given up 10 runs across his last three starts. The Cubs’ bats are even better against lefties so I expect them to get away with the home victory in this one.


