Astros vs Nationals Prediction 7/7/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article we will formulate an Astros vs Nationals prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, July 7th at Nationals Park in Washington, DC. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Houston Astros Betting Preview

The Houston Astros are 45-48 this season after they lost game one by a score of 11-12 on Monday night. Houston led 6-1 in the third inning, but they allowed 11 straight runs, before falling short in their comeback attempt. The Astros recorded 12 hits and they committed two errors in the game, while they were led by Matthews, who went 2-4 with one home run and three RBIs. Burrows allowed nine hits and seven earned runs over 4.1 innings for the loss, while Blubaugh allowed two earned runs in relief. Prior to this series, Houston won two out of three against the Rays, but lost two out of three against the Twins before that. 

This season, Houston has a 4.76 ERA with a 1.39 WHIP and a .241 opponent batting average, while they have scored 424 runs with a .242 batting average and a .316 on base percentage. Yordan Alvarez has led the Astros with 29 home runs and 67 RBIs, while Christian Walker has added 20 home runs and 58 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Houston is Tatsuya Imai, who is 5-4 with a 6.14 ERA and a 1.47 WHIP over 48.1 innings pitched this season. 

Washington Nationals Betting Preview

The Washington Nationals are 47-45 this year after they won game one by a score of 12-11 last night. Washington took a 12-6 lead in the fifth inning, but they allowed one in the sixth and four in the eighth, before closing out the win. The Nationals recorded 13 hits in the game and they were led by Wood, who went 1-2 with one home run and four RBIs. Mikolas allowed nine hits and seven earned runs over 6.0 innings for the win, while Beeter picked up the save. Prior to this series, Washington lost two out of three against the Pirates, but did win two out of three against the Red Sox before that. 

This season, Washington has a 4.79 ERA with a 1.40 WHIP and a .259 opponent batting average, while they have scored 497 runs with a .250 batting average and a .324 on base percentage. CJ Abrams has led the Nationals with 19 home runs and 64 RBIs, while James Wood has added 24 home runs and 60 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Washington is Andrew Alvarez, who is 2-1 with a 3.05 ERA and a 1.38 WHIP over 41.1 innings pitched this year. 

Why the Washington Nationals will win

• The Nationals have won 13 of their last 14 games as favorites against the Astros.
• The Astros have lost four of their last five games against National League opponents.
• The Nationals have covered the run line in nine of their last 11 games against American League opponents following a win.
• The Astros have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five road games against National League opponents following a road loss.
• The Astros have trailed after 5 innings in six of their last seven night games against opponents that held a winning record.

Why the Houston Astros will win

• The Astros have won eight of their last nine games as underdogs against National League opponents following a loss.
• The Nationals have lost each of their last three games following a home win.
• The Astros have covered the run line each of their last nine games at Nationals Park against teams that held a winning record.
• The Nationals have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games as favorites against the Astros following a home win.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Nationals’ last four games against AL West opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Each of the Astros’ last four games as underdogs against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Nationals’ last five games against American League opponents.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in four of Tatsuya Imai’s last five appearances as a starter.

Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts

• Andrew Alvarez has recorded five strikeouts in each of his last six appearances at Nationals Park against opponents that held a losing record.
• James Wood has hit a home run in each of the Nationals’ last three games against opponents that held a losing record.
• Keibert Ruiz has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances against opponents that held a losing record.

Houston Astros Player Prop Facts

• Yainer Diaz has hit a home run in each of his last three road appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
• Yordan Alvarez has recorded at least one hit in each of the Astros’ last 11 road games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.

Astros vs Nationals Prediction 

Washington was able to escape game one with a win to start this series, but they have allowed 29 runs in their last three games. The Nationals are 19-27 at home this year, while the Astros are 22-24 on the road. Houston has lost three of their last five games and they have allowed 8+ runs in three of their last five. The Astros are starting Imai, who has allowed 3+ earned runs in three of his last four starts, while Alvarez has allowed two earned runs or fewer in five straight outings. Take the Nationals to get another win here.

David Racey's Pick: Nationals ML