Astros vs Marlins Prediction 08/05/2025 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article we will formulate an Astros vs Marlins prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, August 5th at loanDepot park in Miami, Florida. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Houston Astros Betting Preview

The Houston Astros are 63-50 this season after they won game one by a score of 8-2 on Monday night. Houston scored the first six runs in the game and they were able to cruise to the easy win. The Astros recorded 11 hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Diaz, who went 2-4 with two RBIs in the win. Houston started Alexander, who allowed three hits and zero earned runs over 6.0 innings for the win, while King allowed two earned runs in relief. 

Prior to this series, the Astros lost all three against the Red Sox, but did win two out of three against the Nationals before that. Houston has lost three of their last four games and they are currently first in the AL West standings. The Houston pitching staff has a 3.70 ERA with a 1.19 WHIP and a .229 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 486 runs with a .257 batting average and a .321 on base percentage this season. Jose Altuve has led Houston with 18 home runs and 57 RBIs, while Yanier Diaz has added 15 home runs and 47 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Houston is TBD. 

Miami Marlins Betting Preview

The Miami Marlins are 55-56 this year after they lost game one by a score of 8-2 on Monday. Miami cut the deficit to 6-2 in the seventh inning, but couldn’t get any closer in the loss. The Marlins recorded seven hits in the game and they were led by Sanoja and Hill, who both had one RBI in the loss. Miami started Alcantara, who allowed nine hits and six earned runs over 7.0 innings for the loss, while Gibson allowed two earned runs in relief. 

Prior to this series, the Marlins won all three against the Yankees and two out of three against the Cardinals. Miami has won five of their last six games and they are currently third in the NL East standings. The Miami pitching staff has a 4.41 ERA with a 1.30 WHIP and a .248 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 477 runs with a .252 batting average and a .315 on base percentage this season. Kyle Stowers has led Miami with 25 home runs and 71 RBIs, while Agustin Ramirez has added 17 home runs and 50 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Miami is Cal Quantrill, who is 4-8 with a 4.79 ERA and a 1.31 WHIP over 97.2 innings pitched this year. 

Why the Marlins will beat the Astros

• The Marlins have won each of their last seven Tuesday games.
• The Astros have lost three of their last four games.
• The Marlins have covered the run line in each of their last five home games against American League opponents following a home loss.
• The Astros have failed to cover the run line in 17 of their last 22 games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Astros have trailed after 3 innings in six of their last eight games against opponents that held a losing record.
• The Marlins have led after 5 innings in each of their last five Tuesday night games.

Total Runs Facts

• Four of the Marlins’ last five games against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Each of the Astros’ last three games against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Marlins’ last eight night games.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Astros’ last nine night games against NL East opponents.

Astros vs Marlins Prediction 

Miami had their winning streak snapped on Monday night to open this series and they have allowed at least eight runs in two of their last four games. The Marlins are 27-30 at home this year, while the Astros are 28-26 on the road. Houston needed the win on Monday very badly, as Seattle continues to chase them down. The Astros haven’t announced their pitching plans for this game, but it may be a bullpen game. Miami is going with Quantrill, who has allowed a total of one earned run in his last three starts (16.0 IP). Miami has been very good over the last few weeks and we have seen Quantrill really turn things around, so I am taking them to win here.