Aug 12, 2025; Arlington, Texas, USA; Texas Rangers second baseman Marcus Semien (2) plays a ground ball with Arizona Diamondbacks first baseman Tyler Locklear (28) sliding into second base during the second inning at Globe Life Field. Mandatory Credit: Andrew Dieb-Imagn Images

Arizona Diamondbacks vs Texas Rangers Prediction 8/13/2025 Today’s MLB Picks

Pick details

Arizona (58-62) vs Texas (61-60)

August 13, 2025 at 02:35 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Texas -144 / Arizona +130 — Over/Under: +8.5

(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate an Arizona Diamondbacks vs Texas Rangers Prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, August 13th at the Globe Life Field in the third game of this series, with both teams being tied 1-1 wins. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Texas Rangers Preview

The Texas Rangers have a 61-60 record this season and are sitting on the third place of the AL West ahead of the LA Angels. The Rangers have a 37-25 home record and are 50-68 in over/under. They are coming off a 2-3 home defeat by the Dbacks, and are 1-5 in their last 6 games. Under is 5-2 in their last 7 games and are playing the Blue Jays and the Royals next.

The Rangers have a .232 batting average this season, .300 OBP and .375 slugging percentage. Texas’ pitching staff has a 3.30 ERA and 1.17 WHIP. Josh Smith leads the Rangers with 101 hits and he is the team’s best hitter with a .265 batting average. Adolis Garcia leads the team in RBI, with 64, while Corey Seager leads the team in home runs with 17.

Merrill Kelly (R) is the projected starter for the Rangers, and he has a 9-7 record, 3.38 ERA and 1.08 WHIP.

Arizona Diamondbacks Preview

The Arizona Diamondbacks have a 58-62 record this season and are sitting on the 4th place of the NL West ahead of only the Colorado Rockies. The Diamondbacks have a 28-32 road record and are 57-55 in over/under They are coming off a 3-2 road victory over the Rangers, and are 4-1 in their last 5 games. Over is 3-1 in their last 4 games and are playing the Guardians and the Rockies next.

The Diamondbacks have a .251 batting average this season, .326 OBP and .441 slugging percentage. Arizona’s pitching staff has a 4.54 ERA and 1.34 WHIP. Geraldo Perdomo leads the Diamondbacks with 125 hits, adding a team-high 78 RBI. Ketel Marte is the team’s best hitter with a .289 batting average. Corbin Carroll leads the team in home runs with 26.

Zach Gallen (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Diamondbacks, and he has a 9-12 record, 5.31 ERA and 1.35 WHIP.

Why the Texas Rangers will win

  • The Rangers have won nine of their last 10 home games against teams that held a losing record.
  • The Diamondbacks have lost seven of their last eight games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Rangers have covered the run line in each of their last four day games against NL West opponents.
  • The Diamondbacks have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six day games against AL West opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Rangers have led after 3 innings in each of their last eight day games against National League opponents.
  • The Rangers have led after 5 innings in seven of their last eight games as favorites against National League opponents.

Why the Arizona Diamondbacks will win

  • The Diamondbacks have won seven of their last eight games as underdogs against American League opponents following a road win.
  • The Rangers have lost each of their last four day games against NL West opponents.
  • The Diamondbacks have covered the run line in each of their last 10 games as road underdogs following a win.
  • The Rangers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five games.
  • The Diamondbacks have won the first inning in six of their last eight games.
  • The Diamondbacks have led after 3 innings in four of their last five day games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Diamondbacks have led after 5 innings in nine of their last 10 games.

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the Rangers’ last five day games against NL West opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • Four of the Diamondbacks’ last five games as underdogs against the Rangers have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Diamondbacks’ last five games at Globe Life Field.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in six of the Rangers’ last seven games as favorites.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Rangers rank 1st in the league for ERA this season (3.30).
  • The Rangers rank 1st in the league for opponent batting average this season (.226).
  • The Diamondbacks rank 2nd in the league for triples this season (27).
  • The Diamondbacks rank 3rd in the league for slugging percentage this season (.441).

Arizona Diamondbacks vs Texas Rangers Prediction

The Rangers are 5-3 in their last 8 head-to-head meetings against the Diamondbacks, and are 3-2 in their last 5 meetings in Texas. Under is 5-1 in their last 6 meetings.

In this Arizona Diamondbacks vs Texas Rangers Prediction, the Rangers are coming as -150 home favorites. Texas is rightfully favored, as they have a slightly better overall record, and have been very strong at home, while Arizona is below average on the road. Gallen has been a shadow of his former self this season, while Kelly is facing his former team and there will certainly be some revenge factor. Texas also has the 4th-best bullpen to back up Kelly up, so I expect them to bounce back and get the job done at home troday.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Texas Rangers -144

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