Arizona Diamondbacks vs Texas Rangers Prediction 8/11/2025 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article, we will formulate an Arizona Diamondbacks vs Texas Rangers Prediction for this MLB game on Monday, August 11th at the Globe Life Field in the opening game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Texas Rangers Preview

The Texas Rangers have a 60-59 record this season and are sitting on the third place of the AL West. The Rangers have a 36-24 home record and are 49-67 in over/under. They are coming off a 2-4 home defeat by the Phillies, and have four consecutive losses. Under is 4-1 in their last 5 games and are playing the Blue Jays and the Royals next.

The Rangers have a .232 batting average this season, .300 OBP and .375 slugging percentage. Texas’ pitching staff has a 3.28 ERA and 1.17 WHIP. Marcus Semien leads the Rangers with 99 hits, while Corey Seager is the team’s best hitter with a .265 batting average. Adolis Garcia leads the team in RBI, with 63, while Corey Seager leads the team in home runs with 17.

Nathan Eovaldi (R) is the projected starter for the Rangers, and he has a 10-3 record, 1.38 ERA and 0.84 WHIP.

Arizona Diamondbacks Preview

The Arizona Diamondbacks have a 57-61 record this season and are sitting on the 4th place of the NL West. The Diamondbacks have a 27-31 road record and are 56-54 in over/under They are coming off a 13-6 home victory over the Rockies, and are 6-2 in their last 8 games. Under is 5-3-2 in their last 10 games and are playing the Guardians and the Rockies next.

The Diamondbacks have a .251 batting average this season, .326 OBP and .438 slugging percentage. Arizona’s pitching staff has a 4.55 ERA and 1.35 WHIP. Geraldo Perdomo leads the Diamondbacks with 122 hits, adding a team-high 76 RBI. Ketel Marte is the team’s best hitter with a .290 batting average. Corbin Carroll leads the team in home runs with 25.

Ryne Nelson (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Diamondbacks, and he has a 6-3 record, 3.20 ERA and 1.05 WHIP.

Why the Texas Rangers will win

• The Rangers have won each of their last eight home games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Diamondbacks have lost each of their last six night games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Diamondbacks have failed to cover the run line each of their last six games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Rangers have covered the run line in seven of their last eight home games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Rangers have led after 5 innings in each of their last six games as favorites against National League opponents.
• The Rangers have won the first inning in each of their last four night games against NL West opponents.
• The Rangers have led after 3 innings in each of their last eight games against National League opponents that held a losing record.

Why the Arizona Diamondbacks will win

• The Diamondbacks have won seven of their last eight games as road underdogs against American League opponents following a win.
• The Rangers have lost each of their last four games.
• The Diamondbacks have covered the run line in each of their last nine games as road underdogs following a win.
• The Rangers have failed to cover the run line each of their last eight Monday games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
• The Diamondbacks have led after 3 innings in three of their last four night games against opponents that held a winning record.
• The Diamondbacks have led after 5 innings in each of their last eight games.
• The Diamondbacks have won the first inning in each of their last six games.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Rangers’ last four games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Four of the Diamondbacks’ last five games against AL West opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Diamondbacks’ last nine night games.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Rangers’ last eight games against National League opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Rangers rank 1st in the league for ERA this season (3.28).
• The Rangers rank 1st in the league for opponent batting average this season (.225).
• The Diamondbacks rank 2nd in the league for triples this season (27).
• The Diamondbacks rank 3rd in the league for slugging percentage this season (.438).

Arizona Diamondbacks vs Texas Rangers Prediction

The Rangers are 5-2 in their last 7 head-to-head meetings against the Diamondbacks, and are 3-1 in their last 4 meetings in Texas. Under is 4-1 in their last 5 meetings.

In this Arizona Diamondbacks vs Texas Rangers Prediction, the Rangers are coming as -165 home favorites. The Cardinals are rightfully favored, as they have a slightly better overall record, and have been very strong at home, while the Dbacks are below average on the road. Texas sends Eovaldi on the mound, who leads the league in ERA, with 1.38, while Nelson for the Dbacks has been weaker on the road, with a 4.50 road ERA. Texas also has the 4th-best bullpen to back up Eovaldi, so I expect them to take care of business at home in this one.