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Arizona Diamondbacks vs San Diego Padres Prediction MLB Picks 7/7/24
Pick details
San Diego Padres (49-43) vs Arizona Diamondbacks (43-45)
July 7, 2024 at 04:10 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: San Diego Padres -172 / Arizona Diamondbacks +146 — Over/Under: 8.5
The Arizona Diamondbacks and San Diego Padres meet Sunday in MLB game 3 action at Petco Park. Here’s a Arizona Diamondbacks vs San Diego Padres Prediction. This article will include a Arizona Diamondbacks vs San Diego Padres Pick.
Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Preview
The Arizona Diamondbacks look to get to a .500 record before playing the Braves and Blue Jays. The Arizona Diamondbacks have scored 24 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 6 straight games. The Arizona Diamondbacks have won 11 of their last 15 games when scoring 4 or more runs. Ketel Marte leads the Arizona Diamondbacks with 95 hits and 51 RBI, while Christian Walker and Lourdes Gurriel Jr. have combined for 181 hits and 118 RBI.
San Diego Padres Betting Preview
The San Diego Padres are 49-44 on the year and play the Mariners and Braves next. The San Diego Padres have scored 18 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 7 of their last 10 games. The San Diego Padres have won 11 of their last 12 games when scoring 4 or more runs. Jurickson Profar leads the San Diego Padres with 99 hits and 58 RBI, while Jackson Merrill and Jake Cronenworth have combined for 177 hits and 100 RBI.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs San Diego Padres Pitching Pick Matchup
Ryne Nelson gets the ball for the Arizona Diamondbacks, and he is 5-6 with a 5.42 ERA and 49 strikeouts this season. Nelson has allowed 10 hits and 7 runs in his last 8.2 innings. Nelson has a 4.26 ERA and .276 allowed batting average in 38 road innings. Nelson is 2-3 with a 6.95 ERA and 23 strikeouts in his career against the San Diego Padres.
Dylan Cease gets the ball for the San Diego Padres, and he is 7-7 with a 4.24 ERA and 130 strikeouts this season. Cease has allowed 9 hits and 6 runs in his last 10.2 innings. Cease has a 3.66 ERA and .217 allowed batting average in 46.2 home innings. Cease is 1-0 with a 1.84 ERA and 16 strikeouts in his career against the Arizona Diamondbacks.
San Diego Padres Player Prop Facts
- Jurickson Profar has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Padres’ last six home games against NL opponents that held a losing record.
- Dylan Cease has recorded eight or more strikeouts in each of his last five home appearances.
- Manny Machado has recorded at least one Single in each of the Padres’ last seven games as favorites against NL opponents.
- Jurickson Profar has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 appearances against NL opponents.
- Fernando Tatis Jr. has hit a home run in two of his last three home appearances against the Diamondbacks.
- Fernando Tatis Jr. has scored at least one run in each of his last seven home appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
- Xander Bogaerts has recorded at least one total base in each of his last nine appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
- Dylan Cease ranks 4th in the league for total Strikeouts (130) this season.
Arizona Diamondbacks Player Prop Facts
- Christian Walker has hit at least one home run in three of the Diamondbacks’ last four games as road underdogs.
- Christian Walker has recorded two or more RBIs in each of the Diamondbacks’ last five games as road underdogs against NL West opponents.
- Corbin Carroll has scored at least one run in seven of the Diamondbacks’ last eight road games against the Padres.
- Ryne Nelson has recorded three or more strikeouts in seven of his eight previous appearances in day games against teams that held a winning record.
- Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 road appearances.
- Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 13 appearances against NL opponents.
- Ketel Marte has recorded at least one Single in 12 of his last 13 appearances with the Diamondbacks as road underdogs against NL West opponents.
Matchup/League Facts
- The San Diego Padres rank 2nd in the league for batting average this season (.263).
- The San Diego Padres rank 3rd in the league for strikeouts this season (801).
- The Arizona Diamondbacks rank 29th in the league for opponent batting average this season (.264).
- The Arizona Diamondbacks rank 28th in the league for hits allowed this season (796).
Arizona Diamondbacks vs San Diego Padres Prediction
The San Diego Padres are playing their best ball of the season, and they should like their chances at home with Dylan Cease on the mound. The Arizona Diamondbacks are a decent enough team to give a look in the underdog role, but it’s hard to get behind Ryne Nelson and his 5.42 ERA on the season. The Padres have also had success against Nelson in a handful of starts. Give me the Padres and the RL to shave down the expensive juice.
