Arizona Diamondbacks vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction 4/10/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

The Arizona Diamondbacks and Philadelphia Phillies meet Friday in MLB action at Citizens Bank Park. Here’s an Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Philadelphia Phillies Prediction. This article will include an Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Philadelphia Phillies Pick.

Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Preview

The Arizona Diamondbacks are 7-6 on the year and play the Orioles and Blue Jays next. The Arizona Diamondbacks are batting. 224 on the season, have a .284 OBP, and have a .373 slugging percentage. The Arizona Diamondbacks pitching staff has a 3.67 ERA and a 1.22 WHIP. Corbin Carroll leads the Arizona Diamondbacks with 14 hits and 11 RBI while Ildemaro Vargas and Gabriel Moreno have combined for 22 hits and 9 RBI.

Michael Soroka gets the ball for the Arizona Diamondbacks, and he is 2-0 with a 0.90 ERA and 13 strikeouts this season. Soroka is 1-1 with a 5.68 ERA and 18 strikeouts in his career against the Philadelphia Phillies.

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies are 6-6 on the year and play the Cubs and Braves next. The Philadelphia Phillies are batting .220 on the season and have a .307 OBP, and a .351 slugging percentage. The Philadelphia Phillies pitching staff has a 4.21 ERA and a 1.28 WHIP. Trea Turner leads the Philadelphia Phillies with 13 hits and 3 RBI, while Justin Crawford and Adolis Garcia have combined for 22 hits and 5 RBI.

Jesus Luzardo gets the ball for the Philadelphia Phillies, and he is 1-1 with a 4.97 ERA and 18 strikeouts this season. Luzardo is 2-1 with a 4.70 ERA and 25 strikeouts in his career against the Arizona Diamondbacks.

Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win

• The Phillies have won each of their last six Friday games.
• The Diamondbacks have lost each of their last six Friday games against NL East opponents.
• The Phillies have covered the run line in eight of their last nine night games against NL West opponents following a loss.
• The Diamondbacks have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four night games against NL East opponents.

Why the Arizona Diamondbacks will win

• The Diamondbacks have won five of their last six games as underdogs against National League opponents following a road win.
• The Phillies have lost three of their last four games as favorites against National League opponents.
• The Diamondbacks have covered the run line in each of their last 16 games as underdogs following a road win.
• The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five home games.
• The Diamondbacks have led after 5 innings in three of their last four games as road underdogs.

Total Runs Facts

• Four of the Phillies’ last five home games have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Six of the Diamondbacks’ last eight games as underdogs against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Phillies’ last five home games against NL West opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Diamondbacks’ last four road games.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

• Kyle Schwarber has hit a home run in two of the Phillies’ last three games against the Diamondbacks at Citizens Bank Park.
• Jesus Luzardo has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his last eight appearances with the Phillies as home favorites.
• Trea Turner has recorded at least one hit in each of the Phillies’ last seven night games.
• Jesus Luzardo has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances with the Phillies as favorites.

Arizona Diamondbacks Player Prop Facts

• Ildemaro Vargas has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 road appearances.
• Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has hit a home run in three of his last seven appearances at Citizens Bank Park.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Phillies rank 26th in the league for runs scored this season (42).
• The Phillies rank T25th in the league for hits allowed this season (111).
• The Diamondbacks rank 29th in the league for strikeouts this season (87).
• The Diamondbacks rank 28th in the league for on-base percentage this season (.284).

Arizona Diamondbacks vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction

The Phillies are going to get the benefit of the doubt because they’re at home and Luzardo has above-average stuff when he’s right. However, the Diamondbacks are having a hell of a week where they’ve turned things around and the pitching has improved greatly. Soroka is also on a heater right now, posting a 0.90 ERA and 1.20 WHIP through 10 innings. We’re getting 1.5 times our money with the hotter team and the hotter pitcher. Give me the Diamondbacks.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Arizona Diamondbacks